Current forecasts from agencies including the BBC and timeanddate point to a sunny day with light northeasterly winds and maximum temperatures of 36–38°C on August 6, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 37°C (57%) and 38°C (39%). Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation under typical mid-summer anticyclonic conditions support daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no significant moisture influx or stronger winds expected to moderate peaks. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors against minor forecast uncertainty around exact thermal maxima, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 30s Celsius while assigning negligible weight to extremes below 36°C or above 39°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on August 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 6?
37°C 56%
38°C 39%
39°C 4%
36°C 3%
NOWE
$21,585 Wol.
NOWE
$21,585 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
3%
37°C
56%
38°C
39%
39°C
4%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 56%
38°C 39%
39°C 4%
36°C 3%
NOWE
$21,585 Wol.
NOWE
$21,585 Wol.
Aug 6, 2026
33°C or below
$661 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$2,047 Wol.
1%
35°C
$2,245 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$4,777 Wol.
3%
37°C
$3,735 Wol.
56%
38°C
$3,584 Wol.
39%
39°C
$2,165 Wol.
4%
40°C
$1,051 Wol.
<1%
41°C
$582 Wol.
<1%
42°C
$292 Wol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$448 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the BBC and timeanddate point to a sunny day with light northeasterly winds and maximum temperatures of 36–38°C on August 6, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 37°C (57%) and 38°C (39%). Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation under typical mid-summer anticyclonic conditions support daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no significant moisture influx or stronger winds expected to moderate peaks. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors against minor forecast uncertainty around exact thermal maxima, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 30s Celsius while assigning negligible weight to extremes below 36°C or above 39°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,585Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the BBC and timeanddate point to a sunny day with light northeasterly winds and maximum temperatures of 36–38°C on August 6, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 37°C (57%) and 38°C (39%). Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation under typical mid-summer anticyclonic conditions support daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no significant moisture influx or stronger winds expected to moderate peaks. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors against minor forecast uncertainty around exact thermal maxima, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 30s Celsius while assigning negligible weight to extremes below 36°C or above 39°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$21,585Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the BBC and timeanddate point to a sunny day with light northeasterly winds and maximum temperatures of 36–38°C on August 6, consistent with the market-implied odds favoring 37°C (57%) and 38°C (39%). Persistent high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar insolation under typical mid-summer anticyclonic conditions support daytime heating near or slightly above seasonal norms of 32–34°C. Recent model runs show limited variability, with no significant moisture influx or stronger winds expected to moderate peaks. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors against minor forecast uncertainty around exact thermal maxima, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 30s Celsius while assigning negligible weight to extremes below 36°C or above 39°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania