Recent observational data and AEMET forecast guidance show Madrid under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light winds, driving daytime radiative heating to a verified maximum of 36°C. Multiple model runs and real-time station readings cluster tightly around this value, consistent with midsummer climatology for the Iberian Meseta where August highs average 32–33°C but routinely reach the mid-30s absent advection or cloud cover. The market’s near-100% implied probability for 36°C reflects this tight scientific consensus from official measurements. Only unexpected late-day cooling from boundary-layer changes or instrument revision could alter the recorded outcome before final verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on August 5?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 5?
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$64,300 Wol.
$64,300 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$64,300 Wol.
$64,300 Wol.
Aug 5, 2026
31°C or below
$961 Wol.
No
32°C
$642 Wol.
No
33°C
$1,063 Wol.
No
34°C
$4,026 Wol.
No
35°C
$20,389 Wol.
No
36°C
$12,031 Wol.
Yes
37°C
$10,486 Wol.
No
38°C
$6,297 Wol.
No
39°C
$1,984 Wol.
No
40°C
$947 Wol.
No
41°C or higher
$5,474 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and AEMET forecast guidance show Madrid under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light winds, driving daytime radiative heating to a verified maximum of 36°C. Multiple model runs and real-time station readings cluster tightly around this value, consistent with midsummer climatology for the Iberian Meseta where August highs average 32–33°C but routinely reach the mid-30s absent advection or cloud cover. The market’s near-100% implied probability for 36°C reflects this tight scientific consensus from official measurements. Only unexpected late-day cooling from boundary-layer changes or instrument revision could alter the recorded outcome before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Wolumen
$64,300Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and AEMET forecast guidance show Madrid under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light winds, driving daytime radiative heating to a verified maximum of 36°C. Multiple model runs and real-time station readings cluster tightly around this value, consistent with midsummer climatology for the Iberian Meseta where August highs average 32–33°C but routinely reach the mid-30s absent advection or cloud cover. The market’s near-100% implied probability for 36°C reflects this tight scientific consensus from official measurements. Only unexpected late-day cooling from boundary-layer changes or instrument revision could alter the recorded outcome before final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$64,300Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Recent observational data and AEMET forecast guidance show Madrid under stable high-pressure conditions with clear skies and light winds, driving daytime radiative heating to a verified maximum of 36°C. Multiple model runs and real-time station readings cluster tightly around this value, consistent with midsummer climatology for the Iberian Meseta where August highs average 32–33°C but routinely reach the mid-30s absent advection or cloud cover. The market’s near-100% implied probability for 36°C reflects this tight scientific consensus from official measurements. Only unexpected late-day cooling from boundary-layer changes or instrument revision could alter the recorded outcome before final verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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