Jeddah's coastal Red Sea location sustains elevated temperatures through persistent high-pressure systems and warm marine air advection, with historical August mean daily maxima near 38–44 °C and frequent peaks above 39 °C. Current model consensus from regional forecasts projects a peak around 38–40 °C for August 8, 2026, driven by typical summer insolation, minimal cloud cover, and land-sea breeze dynamics that limit overnight cooling. Trader-implied probabilities—49.5 % for 39 °C or higher and 30.5 % for exactly 38 °C—reflect this climatological baseline plus short-term model runs showing limited cooling potential, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an atypical marine layer or dust event. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble spreads over the next 24 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 8?
39°C or higher 50%
38°C 31%
37°C 13%
36°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C
13%
38°C
31%
39°C or higher
50%
39°C or higher 50%
38°C 31%
37°C 13%
36°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
6%
37°C
13%
38°C
31%
39°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jeddah's coastal Red Sea location sustains elevated temperatures through persistent high-pressure systems and warm marine air advection, with historical August mean daily maxima near 38–44 °C and frequent peaks above 39 °C. Current model consensus from regional forecasts projects a peak around 38–40 °C for August 8, 2026, driven by typical summer insolation, minimal cloud cover, and land-sea breeze dynamics that limit overnight cooling. Trader-implied probabilities—49.5 % for 39 °C or higher and 30.5 % for exactly 38 °C—reflect this climatological baseline plus short-term model runs showing limited cooling potential, while lower outcomes remain improbable absent an atypical marine layer or dust event. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance and ensemble spreads over the next 24 hours will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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