Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 98°F on August 8 amid persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions, with only isolated storm chances that would limit cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, reflecting model consensus for typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average 96-98°F and rarely exceed 101°F without a stronger ridge. Minimal recent changes in steering patterns or moisture have kept probabilities stable, though any unexpected afternoon convection or slight forecast revision could shift odds toward the 96-97°F or 100-101°F outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 8?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 8?
98-99°F 44%
96-97°F 26%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
11%
96-97°F
26%
98-99°F
44%
100-101°F
12%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
2%
106°F or higher
2%
98-99°F 44%
96-97°F 26%
100-101°F 12%
94-95°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
87°F or below
$100 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$12 Wol.
1%
90-91°F
$12 Wol.
2%
92-93°F
$22 Wol.
4%
94-95°F
$2 Wol.
11%
96-97°F
$150 Wol.
26%
98-99°F
$60 Wol.
44%
100-101°F
$0 Wol.
12%
102-103°F
$42 Wol.
3%
104-105°F
$34 Wol.
2%
106°F or higher
$34 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 98°F on August 8 amid persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions, with only isolated storm chances that would limit cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, reflecting model consensus for typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average 96-98°F and rarely exceed 101°F without a stronger ridge. Minimal recent changes in steering patterns or moisture have kept probabilities stable, though any unexpected afternoon convection or slight forecast revision could shift odds toward the 96-97°F or 100-101°F outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$467Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 98°F on August 8 amid persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions, with only isolated storm chances that would limit cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, reflecting model consensus for typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average 96-98°F and rarely exceed 101°F without a stronger ridge. Minimal recent changes in steering patterns or moisture have kept probabilities stable, though any unexpected afternoon convection or slight forecast revision could shift odds toward the 96-97°F or 100-101°F outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$467Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and local forecasts for Austin indicate a high near 98°F on August 8 amid persistent high pressure and mostly sunny conditions, with only isolated storm chances that would limit cooling. This aligns with the market's leading 98-99°F bin at 43.5% implied probability, followed by 96-97°F, reflecting model consensus for typical early-August climatology where daily maxima average 96-98°F and rarely exceed 101°F without a stronger ridge. Minimal recent changes in steering patterns or moisture have kept probabilities stable, though any unexpected afternoon convection or slight forecast revision could shift odds toward the 96-97°F or 100-101°F outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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