**Short-term meteorological forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to peak temperatures in Chengdu around 34–35°C on August 9, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes.** Summer monsoon patterns, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the Sichuan Basin often moderate daytime maxima while allowing brief clearing that pushes readings into the mid-30s. Historical August baselines average highs near 32°C, with recent years showing an uptick in days exceeding 35°C amid warmer regional conditions. Model consensus on steering flows and cloud cover will determine whether the high settles at 34°C or edges to 35°C, with any stronger convective activity likely capping it lower. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 9?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 9?
35°C 30%
34°C 29%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
16%
34°C
29%
35°C
30%
36°C
14%
37°C or higher
8%
35°C 30%
34°C 29%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$349 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$10 Wol.
1%
29°C
$15 Wol.
1%
30°C
$25 Wol.
1%
31°C
$433 Wol.
2%
32°C
$137 Wol.
7%
33°C
$145 Wol.
16%
34°C
$363 Wol.
29%
35°C
$510 Wol.
30%
36°C
$229 Wol.
14%
37°C or higher
$2,650 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term meteorological forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to peak temperatures in Chengdu around 34–35°C on August 9, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes.** Summer monsoon patterns, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the Sichuan Basin often moderate daytime maxima while allowing brief clearing that pushes readings into the mid-30s. Historical August baselines average highs near 32°C, with recent years showing an uptick in days exceeding 35°C amid warmer regional conditions. Model consensus on steering flows and cloud cover will determine whether the high settles at 34°C or edges to 35°C, with any stronger convective activity likely capping it lower. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,865Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term meteorological forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to peak temperatures in Chengdu around 34–35°C on August 9, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes.** Summer monsoon patterns, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the Sichuan Basin often moderate daytime maxima while allowing brief clearing that pushes readings into the mid-30s. Historical August baselines average highs near 32°C, with recent years showing an uptick in days exceeding 35°C amid warmer regional conditions. Model consensus on steering flows and cloud cover will determine whether the high settles at 34°C or edges to 35°C, with any stronger convective activity likely capping it lower. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,865Data zakończenia
Aug 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term meteorological forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to peak temperatures in Chengdu around 34–35°C on August 9, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes.** Summer monsoon patterns, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the Sichuan Basin often moderate daytime maxima while allowing brief clearing that pushes readings into the mid-30s. Historical August baselines average highs near 32°C, with recent years showing an uptick in days exceeding 35°C amid warmer regional conditions. Model consensus on steering flows and cloud cover will determine whether the high settles at 34°C or edges to 35°C, with any stronger convective activity likely capping it lower. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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