**Forecast models and observational data position 98-99°F as the most probable high for Austin on August 7, 2026, aligning with the market's 55.5% implied probability.** National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a high near 98°F under partly sunny skies with limited moisture, following a pattern of highs in the upper 90s to low 100s typical for early August in Central Texas. Spotty rain chances and increased cloud cover are expected to cap intensification compared to clearer, hotter prior days, while the seasonal baseline of 96-98°F highs supports this range over lower or triple-digit outcomes. Traders appear to weight these near-term model consensus updates heavily, with the 96-97°F bin at 24.5% reflecting minor downside risk from greater cloudiness or precipitation. Upcoming afternoon observations from official stations will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Austin on August 7?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 7?
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 25%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
4%
96-97°F
25%
98-99°F
56%
100-101°F
15%
102-103°F
3%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 56%
96-97°F 25%
100-101°F 15%
94-95°F 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 7, 2026
89°F or below
$416 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$789 Wol.
1%
92-93°F
$184 Wol.
1%
94-95°F
$96 Wol.
4%
96-97°F
$1,159 Wol.
25%
98-99°F
$1,772 Wol.
56%
100-101°F
$172 Wol.
15%
102-103°F
$128 Wol.
3%
104-105°F
$203 Wol.
1%
106-107°F
$346 Wol.
<1%
108°F or higher
$496 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data position 98-99°F as the most probable high for Austin on August 7, 2026, aligning with the market's 55.5% implied probability.** National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a high near 98°F under partly sunny skies with limited moisture, following a pattern of highs in the upper 90s to low 100s typical for early August in Central Texas. Spotty rain chances and increased cloud cover are expected to cap intensification compared to clearer, hotter prior days, while the seasonal baseline of 96-98°F highs supports this range over lower or triple-digit outcomes. Traders appear to weight these near-term model consensus updates heavily, with the 96-97°F bin at 24.5% reflecting minor downside risk from greater cloudiness or precipitation. Upcoming afternoon observations from official stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,761Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data position 98-99°F as the most probable high for Austin on August 7, 2026, aligning with the market's 55.5% implied probability.** National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a high near 98°F under partly sunny skies with limited moisture, following a pattern of highs in the upper 90s to low 100s typical for early August in Central Texas. Spotty rain chances and increased cloud cover are expected to cap intensification compared to clearer, hotter prior days, while the seasonal baseline of 96-98°F highs supports this range over lower or triple-digit outcomes. Traders appear to weight these near-term model consensus updates heavily, with the 96-97°F bin at 24.5% reflecting minor downside risk from greater cloudiness or precipitation. Upcoming afternoon observations from official stations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,761Data zakończenia
Aug 7, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational data position 98-99°F as the most probable high for Austin on August 7, 2026, aligning with the market's 55.5% implied probability.** National Weather Service and local forecasts indicate a high near 98°F under partly sunny skies with limited moisture, following a pattern of highs in the upper 90s to low 100s typical for early August in Central Texas. Spotty rain chances and increased cloud cover are expected to cap intensification compared to clearer, hotter prior days, while the seasonal baseline of 96-98°F highs supports this range over lower or triple-digit outcomes. Traders appear to weight these near-term model consensus updates heavily, with the 96-97°F bin at 24.5% reflecting minor downside risk from greater cloudiness or precipitation. Upcoming afternoon observations from official stations will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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