Recent weather forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models position a maximum of 21°C as the most probable outcome for Helsinki on August 8, driving its 42.5% market-implied probability, followed closely by 20°C at 28.5%. These align with current projections of daytime highs around 20–21°C under mild, partly cloudy conditions typical for early August, when average maxima hover near 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with lower probabilities assigned to 22°C or above reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon warming and any potential clearing. Updated model runs as of August 6 emphasize stable steering patterns and modest moisture, keeping extremes below historical August peaks and reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 20–21°C window ahead of final verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 8?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 8?
21°C 43%
20°C 28%
22°C 23%
23°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
28%
21°C
43%
22°C
23%
23°C
6%
24°C
3%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 43%
20°C 28%
22°C 23%
23°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 8, 2026
16°C or below
$312 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$5 Wol.
2%
18°C
$101 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$304 Wol.
3%
20°C
$720 Wol.
28%
21°C
$1,203 Wol.
43%
22°C
$426 Wol.
23%
23°C
$408 Wol.
6%
24°C
$854 Wol.
3%
25°C
$20 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$210 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models position a maximum of 21°C as the most probable outcome for Helsinki on August 8, driving its 42.5% market-implied probability, followed closely by 20°C at 28.5%. These align with current projections of daytime highs around 20–21°C under mild, partly cloudy conditions typical for early August, when average maxima hover near 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with lower probabilities assigned to 22°C or above reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon warming and any potential clearing. Updated model runs as of August 6 emphasize stable steering patterns and modest moisture, keeping extremes below historical August peaks and reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 20–21°C window ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,564Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models position a maximum of 21°C as the most probable outcome for Helsinki on August 8, driving its 42.5% market-implied probability, followed closely by 20°C at 28.5%. These align with current projections of daytime highs around 20–21°C under mild, partly cloudy conditions typical for early August, when average maxima hover near 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with lower probabilities assigned to 22°C or above reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon warming and any potential clearing. Updated model runs as of August 6 emphasize stable steering patterns and modest moisture, keeping extremes below historical August peaks and reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 20–21°C window ahead of final verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,564Data zakończenia
Aug 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and supporting models position a maximum of 21°C as the most probable outcome for Helsinki on August 8, driving its 42.5% market-implied probability, followed closely by 20°C at 28.5%. These align with current projections of daytime highs around 20–21°C under mild, partly cloudy conditions typical for early August, when average maxima hover near 20°C. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with lower probabilities assigned to 22°C or above reflecting modest uncertainty in afternoon warming and any potential clearing. Updated model runs as of August 6 emphasize stable steering patterns and modest moisture, keeping extremes below historical August peaks and reinforcing trader focus on the narrow 20–21°C window ahead of final verification.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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