Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 point to a minimum of 28°C under mainly fine conditions with isolated late showers, aligning closely with the near-even market split between 27°C and 28°C. Typical late-summer atmospheric patterns—weak winds, high relative humidity near 80-90%, and urban heat retention—limit overnight radiative cooling and keep lows clustered in this narrow band, consistent with seasonal normals to slightly above-normal temperatures. Short-term model runs show minor variability in cloud cover timing that could nudge the official overnight reading at the Observatory station between 27–28°C, while the absence of stronger synoptic features like approaching troughs reduces downside risk below 26°C. Updated guidance ahead of the daily minimum observation will determine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
28°C 45%
27°C 40%
26°C 10%
29°C 7%
$19,188 Wol.
$19,188 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
40%
28°C
45%
29°C
7%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 45%
27°C 40%
26°C 10%
29°C 7%
$19,188 Wol.
$19,188 Wol.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
10%
27°C
40%
28°C
45%
29°C
7%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 8 point to a minimum of 28°C under mainly fine conditions with isolated late showers, aligning closely with the near-even market split between 27°C and 28°C. Typical late-summer atmospheric patterns—weak winds, high relative humidity near 80-90%, and urban heat retention—limit overnight radiative cooling and keep lows clustered in this narrow band, consistent with seasonal normals to slightly above-normal temperatures. Short-term model runs show minor variability in cloud cover timing that could nudge the official overnight reading at the Observatory station between 27–28°C, while the absence of stronger synoptic features like approaching troughs reduces downside risk below 26°C. Updated guidance ahead of the daily minimum observation will determine final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania