**Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula are positioning 35°C as the leading outcome for Busan’s maximum temperature on August 6.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) heatwave warnings remain active across southeastern regions, with recent observations showing nearby inland sites like Yangsan reaching 42.5°C and Busan itself climbing into the upper 30s amid clear skies, strong solar insolation, and limited cloud cover that enhance daytime heating. Elevated sea-surface temperatures along the southeast coast further suppress nocturnal cooling and sustain tropical-night conditions, contributing to above-average August baselines of 29–31°C. Model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates daily highs near 31–33°C (roughly 88–91°F), yet the market-implied probability distribution—with 35°C at 53.5% and 36°C at 16.5%—reflects trader assessment of potential for localized intensification or slight forecast upward revision before resolution. Key upcoming factors include the next KMA short-range update and any adjustments to steering patterns or humidity levels that could shift the peak by a degree or two.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Busan on August 6?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 6?
35°C 54%
34°C 24%
36°C 17%
33°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
6%
34°C
24%
35°C
54%
36°C
17%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 54%
34°C 24%
36°C 17%
33°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 6, 2026
30°C or below
$267 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$620 Wol.
1%
32°C
$335 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$1,500 Wol.
6%
34°C
$650 Wol.
24%
35°C
$2,854 Wol.
54%
36°C
$901 Wol.
17%
37°C
$1,078 Wol.
1%
38°C
$964 Wol.
1%
39°C
$448 Wol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$277 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula are positioning 35°C as the leading outcome for Busan’s maximum temperature on August 6.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) heatwave warnings remain active across southeastern regions, with recent observations showing nearby inland sites like Yangsan reaching 42.5°C and Busan itself climbing into the upper 30s amid clear skies, strong solar insolation, and limited cloud cover that enhance daytime heating. Elevated sea-surface temperatures along the southeast coast further suppress nocturnal cooling and sustain tropical-night conditions, contributing to above-average August baselines of 29–31°C. Model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates daily highs near 31–33°C (roughly 88–91°F), yet the market-implied probability distribution—with 35°C at 53.5% and 36°C at 16.5%—reflects trader assessment of potential for localized intensification or slight forecast upward revision before resolution. Key upcoming factors include the next KMA short-range update and any adjustments to steering patterns or humidity levels that could shift the peak by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,894Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula are positioning 35°C as the leading outcome for Busan’s maximum temperature on August 6.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) heatwave warnings remain active across southeastern regions, with recent observations showing nearby inland sites like Yangsan reaching 42.5°C and Busan itself climbing into the upper 30s amid clear skies, strong solar insolation, and limited cloud cover that enhance daytime heating. Elevated sea-surface temperatures along the southeast coast further suppress nocturnal cooling and sustain tropical-night conditions, contributing to above-average August baselines of 29–31°C. Model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates daily highs near 31–33°C (roughly 88–91°F), yet the market-implied probability distribution—with 35°C at 53.5% and 36°C at 16.5%—reflects trader assessment of potential for localized intensification or slight forecast upward revision before resolution. Key upcoming factors include the next KMA short-range update and any adjustments to steering patterns or humidity levels that could shift the peak by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,894Data zakończenia
Aug 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ongoing heatwave conditions driven by a persistent high-pressure system over the Korean Peninsula are positioning 35°C as the leading outcome for Busan’s maximum temperature on August 6.** Official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) heatwave warnings remain active across southeastern regions, with recent observations showing nearby inland sites like Yangsan reaching 42.5°C and Busan itself climbing into the upper 30s amid clear skies, strong solar insolation, and limited cloud cover that enhance daytime heating. Elevated sea-surface temperatures along the southeast coast further suppress nocturnal cooling and sustain tropical-night conditions, contributing to above-average August baselines of 29–31°C. Model consensus from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates daily highs near 31–33°C (roughly 88–91°F), yet the market-implied probability distribution—with 35°C at 53.5% and 36°C at 16.5%—reflects trader assessment of potential for localized intensification or slight forecast upward revision before resolution. Key upcoming factors include the next KMA short-range update and any adjustments to steering patterns or humidity levels that could shift the peak by a degree or two.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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