Latest meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a peak of 33–34°C on August 8 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that favor strong daytime radiative heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 30–32°C, though current model consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles shows slight elevation due to stable anticyclonic flow. Trader-implied probabilities center on 33°C and 34°C as the market aggregates recent observational trends of 31–33°C maxima and limited forecast spread, while lower odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations absent unexpected moisture or frontal shifts. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Ankara on August 8?
33°C 47%
34°C 34%
32°C 14%
31°C 2%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
47%
34°C
34%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 47%
34°C 34%
32°C 14%
31°C 2%
30°C or below
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
14%
33°C
47%
34°C
34%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest meteorological forecasts for Ankara indicate a peak of 33–34°C on August 8 under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that favor strong daytime radiative heating with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. These conditions align with mid-August climatology, where average highs reach 30–32°C, though current model consensus from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles shows slight elevation due to stable anticyclonic flow. Trader-implied probabilities center on 33°C and 34°C as the market aggregates recent observational trends of 31–33°C maxima and limited forecast spread, while lower odds on extremes reflect the low likelihood of significant deviations absent unexpected moisture or frontal shifts. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania