**Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv’s July 9 daily high centers on the narrow 30–31°C range because multiple forecast models place the peak squarely in that corridor amid typical early-July Mediterranean conditions.** Israel Meteorological Service guidance currently shows a 17–28°C range for Thursday, July 9, while international ensembles (ECMWF and others) and private providers such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project afternoon maxima of 30–31°C (86–88°F) under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. Coastal Tel Aviv’s sea-breeze circulation, driven by the land–sea temperature contrast, consistently moderates peak readings by 1–3°C relative to inland sites and helps explain why exact one-degree resolution remains uncertain this close to the event. Climatologically, early-July highs average 30–32°C, so the market’s heavy concentration on 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (43.0%) simply reflects the current model consensus around the long-term central tendency. With resolution hinging on the official Israel Meteorological Service observation, the near-even split between the two leading outcomes captures genuine short-range forecast spread rather than divergent views on broader heat or cooling trends. Updated model runs and the IMS 24-hour forecast issued on July 8 will be the primary catalysts for any further price movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 9?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 9?
31°C 46%
30°C 40%
32°C 13%
29°C 1.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
40%
31°C
46%
32°C
13%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
30°C 40%
32°C 13%
29°C 1.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 9, 2026
27°C or below
$423 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$192 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$109 Wol.
2%
30°C
$376 Wol.
40%
31°C
$165 Wol.
46%
32°C
$234 Wol.
13%
33°C
$290 Wol.
1%
34°C
$316 Wol.
1%
35°C
$99 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$103 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$285 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv’s July 9 daily high centers on the narrow 30–31°C range because multiple forecast models place the peak squarely in that corridor amid typical early-July Mediterranean conditions.**
Israel Meteorological Service guidance currently shows a 17–28°C range for Thursday, July 9, while international ensembles (ECMWF and others) and private providers such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project afternoon maxima of 30–31°C (86–88°F) under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. Coastal Tel Aviv’s sea-breeze circulation, driven by the land–sea temperature contrast, consistently moderates peak readings by 1–3°C relative to inland sites and helps explain why exact one-degree resolution remains uncertain this close to the event.
Climatologically, early-July highs average 30–32°C, so the market’s heavy concentration on 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (43.0%) simply reflects the current model consensus around the long-term central tendency. With resolution hinging on the official Israel Meteorological Service observation, the near-even split between the two leading outcomes captures genuine short-range forecast spread rather than divergent views on broader heat or cooling trends. Updated model runs and the IMS 24-hour forecast issued on July 8 will be the primary catalysts for any further price movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,592Data zakończenia
Jul 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv’s July 9 daily high centers on the narrow 30–31°C range because multiple forecast models place the peak squarely in that corridor amid typical early-July Mediterranean conditions.**
Israel Meteorological Service guidance currently shows a 17–28°C range for Thursday, July 9, while international ensembles (ECMWF and others) and private providers such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project afternoon maxima of 30–31°C (86–88°F) under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. Coastal Tel Aviv’s sea-breeze circulation, driven by the land–sea temperature contrast, consistently moderates peak readings by 1–3°C relative to inland sites and helps explain why exact one-degree resolution remains uncertain this close to the event.
Climatologically, early-July highs average 30–32°C, so the market’s heavy concentration on 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (43.0%) simply reflects the current model consensus around the long-term central tendency. With resolution hinging on the official Israel Meteorological Service observation, the near-even split between the two leading outcomes captures genuine short-range forecast spread rather than divergent views on broader heat or cooling trends. Updated model runs and the IMS 24-hour forecast issued on July 8 will be the primary catalysts for any further price movement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,592Data zakończenia
Jul 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Tel Aviv’s July 9 daily high centers on the narrow 30–31°C range because multiple forecast models place the peak squarely in that corridor amid typical early-July Mediterranean conditions.** Israel Meteorological Service guidance currently shows a 17–28°C range for Thursday, July 9, while international ensembles (ECMWF and others) and private providers such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project afternoon maxima of 30–31°C (86–88°F) under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. Coastal Tel Aviv’s sea-breeze circulation, driven by the land–sea temperature contrast, consistently moderates peak readings by 1–3°C relative to inland sites and helps explain why exact one-degree resolution remains uncertain this close to the event. Climatologically, early-July highs average 30–32°C, so the market’s heavy concentration on 30°C (37.5%) and 31°C (43.0%) simply reflects the current model consensus around the long-term central tendency. With resolution hinging on the official Israel Meteorological Service observation, the near-even split between the two leading outcomes captures genuine short-range forecast spread rather than divergent views on broader heat or cooling trends. Updated model runs and the IMS 24-hour forecast issued on July 8 will be the primary catalysts for any further price movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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