**Trader consensus around 25–26°C for Tokyo’s July 5 high reflects JMA forecasts of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that should limit daytime heating.** Seasonal normals near 28.9°C, yet models show a frontal influence and increased moisture keeping maxima several degrees cooler, consistent with the closely matched 25°C (28%) and 26°C (25.5%) shares. Recent July 2–4 observations of similar suppressed highs under overcast skies have reinforced this view. Key variables include exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized rainfall amounts, which could allow brief warming toward 27°C or keep readings nearer 24°C. Updated JMA and ensemble guidance through the weekend will be the next decisive inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on July 5?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on July 5?
26°C 36%
25°C 34%
24°C 16%
27°C 7%
NOWE
$10,034 Wol.
NOWE
$10,034 Wol.
Jul 5, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
34%
26°C
36%
27°C
7%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
25°C 34%
24°C 16%
27°C 7%
NOWE
$10,034 Wol.
NOWE
$10,034 Wol.
Jul 5, 2026
21°C or below
$1,265 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$590 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,562 Wol.
3%
24°C
$1,485 Wol.
16%
25°C
$2,470 Wol.
34%
26°C
$933 Wol.
36%
27°C
$307 Wol.
7%
28°C
$323 Wol.
1%
29°C
$544 Wol.
1%
30°C
$400 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$536 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 25–26°C for Tokyo’s July 5 high reflects JMA forecasts of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that should limit daytime heating.** Seasonal normals near 28.9°C, yet models show a frontal influence and increased moisture keeping maxima several degrees cooler, consistent with the closely matched 25°C (28%) and 26°C (25.5%) shares. Recent July 2–4 observations of similar suppressed highs under overcast skies have reinforced this view. Key variables include exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized rainfall amounts, which could allow brief warming toward 27°C or keep readings nearer 24°C. Updated JMA and ensemble guidance through the weekend will be the next decisive inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,034Data zakończenia
Jul 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 25–26°C for Tokyo’s July 5 high reflects JMA forecasts of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that should limit daytime heating.** Seasonal normals near 28.9°C, yet models show a frontal influence and increased moisture keeping maxima several degrees cooler, consistent with the closely matched 25°C (28%) and 26°C (25.5%) shares. Recent July 2–4 observations of similar suppressed highs under overcast skies have reinforced this view. Key variables include exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized rainfall amounts, which could allow brief warming toward 27°C or keep readings nearer 24°C. Updated JMA and ensemble guidance through the weekend will be the next decisive inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,034Data zakończenia
Jul 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 3, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around 25–26°C for Tokyo’s July 5 high reflects JMA forecasts of persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that should limit daytime heating.** Seasonal normals near 28.9°C, yet models show a frontal influence and increased moisture keeping maxima several degrees cooler, consistent with the closely matched 25°C (28%) and 26°C (25.5%) shares. Recent July 2–4 observations of similar suppressed highs under overcast skies have reinforced this view. Key variables include exact timing of any breaks in cloud and localized rainfall amounts, which could allow brief warming toward 27°C or keep readings nearer 24°C. Updated JMA and ensemble guidance through the weekend will be the next decisive inputs before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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