Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles show high uncertainty for Toronto's July 31 maximum, with consensus clustering near 28–30°C amid variable high pressure, modest humidity, and light winds. Recent runs highlight small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon cloud build-up that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the closest market outcomes. Historical July climatology places typical highs around 27–28°C, but this year's warmer baseline and limited model spread explain why probabilities remain distributed across the 28–31°C range rather than converging on a single value. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine the envelope ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on July 31?
Highest temperature in Toronto on July 31?
29°C 42%
30°C 27%
28°C 19%
32°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 31, 2026
26°C or below
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
19%
29°C
42%
30°C
27%
31°C
7%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
2%
29°C 42%
30°C 27%
28°C 19%
32°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 31, 2026
26°C or below
$30 Wol.
5%
27°C
$0 Wol.
3%
28°C
$22 Wol.
19%
29°C
$0 Wol.
42%
30°C
$0 Wol.
27%
31°C
$53 Wol.
7%
32°C
$16 Wol.
8%
33°C
$15 Wol.
1%
34°C
$15 Wol.
2%
35°C
$15 Wol.
1%
36°C or higher
$15 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles show high uncertainty for Toronto's July 31 maximum, with consensus clustering near 28–30°C amid variable high pressure, modest humidity, and light winds. Recent runs highlight small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon cloud build-up that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the closest market outcomes. Historical July climatology places typical highs around 27–28°C, but this year's warmer baseline and limited model spread explain why probabilities remain distributed across the 28–31°C range rather than converging on a single value. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine the envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$182Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles show high uncertainty for Toronto's July 31 maximum, with consensus clustering near 28–30°C amid variable high pressure, modest humidity, and light winds. Recent runs highlight small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon cloud build-up that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the closest market outcomes. Historical July climatology places typical highs around 27–28°C, but this year's warmer baseline and limited model spread explain why probabilities remain distributed across the 28–31°C range rather than converging on a single value. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine the envelope ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$182Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Environment Canada and major ensembles show high uncertainty for Toronto's July 31 maximum, with consensus clustering near 28–30°C amid variable high pressure, modest humidity, and light winds. Recent runs highlight small differences in timing of any weak frontal passage or afternoon cloud build-up that could cap or boost readings by 1–2°C, keeping 29°C and 30°C as the closest market outcomes. Historical July climatology places typical highs around 27–28°C, but this year's warmer baseline and limited model spread explain why probabilities remain distributed across the 28–31°C range rather than converging on a single value. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine the envelope ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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