Elevated seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a magnitude 7.4 event near Colombia on August 13 and additional magnitude 5.5+ quakes in Indonesia, Alaska, and other plate-boundary zones, drove the USGS weekly count of magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes well above 13 for August 10–16. Global baselines average roughly 8–15 such events per week, with substantial variance tied to aftershock sequences and tectonic clusters, but confirmed observations during this window produced strong trader consensus around the >13 outcome. New model runs or catalog revisions could theoretically alter marginal counts, though official USGS tallies make that outcome highly improbable here.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
>13 100.0%
≤6 <1%
7 <1%
8 <1%
$43,878 Wol.
$43,878 Wol.
Aug 9, 2026
≤6
No
7
No
8
No
9
No
10
No
11
No
12
No
13
No
>13
Yes
>13 100.0%
≤6 <1%
7 <1%
8 <1%
$43,878 Wol.
$43,878 Wol.
Aug 9, 2026
≤6
$8,146 Wol.
No
7
$1,403 Wol.
No
8
$1,087 Wol.
No
9
$1,684 Wol.
No
10
$1,366 Wol.
No
11
$2,918 Wol.
No
12
$4,403 Wol.
No
13
$5,250 Wol.
No
>13
$17,620 Wol.
Yes
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Elevated seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a magnitude 7.4 event near Colombia on August 13 and additional magnitude 5.5+ quakes in Indonesia, Alaska, and other plate-boundary zones, drove the USGS weekly count of magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes well above 13 for August 10–16. Global baselines average roughly 8–15 such events per week, with substantial variance tied to aftershock sequences and tectonic clusters, but confirmed observations during this window produced strong trader consensus around the >13 outcome. New model runs or catalog revisions could theoretically alter marginal counts, though official USGS tallies make that outcome highly improbable here.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$43,878Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Elevated seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a magnitude 7.4 event near Colombia on August 13 and additional magnitude 5.5+ quakes in Indonesia, Alaska, and other plate-boundary zones, drove the USGS weekly count of magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes well above 13 for August 10–16. Global baselines average roughly 8–15 such events per week, with substantial variance tied to aftershock sequences and tectonic clusters, but confirmed observations during this window produced strong trader consensus around the >13 outcome. New model runs or catalog revisions could theoretically alter marginal counts, though official USGS tallies make that outcome highly improbable here.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Wolumen
$43,878Data zakończenia
Aug 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Elevated seismic activity along the Pacific Ring of Fire, including a magnitude 7.4 event near Colombia on August 13 and additional magnitude 5.5+ quakes in Indonesia, Alaska, and other plate-boundary zones, drove the USGS weekly count of magnitude 5.5 or greater earthquakes well above 13 for August 10–16. Global baselines average roughly 8–15 such events per week, with substantial variance tied to aftershock sequences and tectonic clusters, but confirmed observations during this window produced strong trader consensus around the >13 outcome. New model runs or catalog revisions could theoretically alter marginal counts, though official USGS tallies make that outcome highly improbable here.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?
24%
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from August 17 - August 23?
42%
Czy w 2026 roku na świecie wystąpi od 14 do 16 trzęsień ziemi o magnitudzie 7,0 lub wyższej?
40%
Tak
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