Illinois's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Dick Durbin, features Democrat Juliana Stratton, the state's lieutenant governor backed by Governor J.B. Pritzker, against Republican Don Tracy, former state party chair. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary, while Tracy prevailed on the Republican side. The state has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal contests, with race ratings from Cook Political Report and others classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election polling shifts through mid-August 2026. Potential disruptions remain limited to major late-cycle developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant national political realignments, or health events affecting either nominee before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIllinois Senate Election Winner
$29,618 Wol.
$29,618 Wol.

Juliana Stratton (D)
95%

Don Tracy (R)
3%
$29,618 Wol.
$29,618 Wol.

Juliana Stratton (D)
95%

Don Tracy (R)
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by longtime incumbent Dick Durbin, features Democrat Juliana Stratton, the state's lieutenant governor backed by Governor J.B. Pritzker, against Republican Don Tracy, former state party chair. Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary, while Tracy prevailed on the Republican side. The state has consistently favored Democrats in recent federal contests, with race ratings from Cook Political Report and others classifying the contest as solid or safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and the absence of competitive general-election polling shifts through mid-August 2026. Potential disruptions remain limited to major late-cycle developments such as unforeseen scandals, significant national political realignments, or health events affecting either nominee before November 3.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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