Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. The open seat created by Robin Kelly's retirement to pursue a Senate bid did not alter the underlying dynamics, as Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with this assessment of limited Republican competitiveness in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Late developments such as a national political shift or candidate-specific issues could still influence outcomes, though the district's established voting patterns and low-profile Republican challenge constrain such possibilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIL-02 House Election Winner
IL-02 House Election Winner
$33,686 Wol.
$33,686 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
1%
$33,686 Wol.
$33,686 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,437 Wol.
97%
Republican Party
$19,249 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. The open seat created by Robin Kelly's retirement to pursue a Senate bid did not alter the underlying dynamics, as Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with this assessment of limited Republican competitiveness in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Late developments such as a national political shift or candidate-specific issues could still influence outcomes, though the district's established voting patterns and low-profile Republican challenge constrain such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$33,686Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. The open seat created by Robin Kelly's retirement to pursue a Senate bid did not alter the underlying dynamics, as Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with this assessment of limited Republican competitiveness in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Late developments such as a national political shift or candidate-specific issues could still influence outcomes, though the district's established voting patterns and low-profile Republican challenge constrain such possibilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$33,686Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic structural advantage, reflected in its D+18 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in prior cycles. The open seat created by Robin Kelly's retirement to pursue a Senate bid did not alter the underlying dynamics, as Donna Miller secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican Mike Noack in the November general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, and trader consensus on Polymarket aligns with this assessment of limited Republican competitiveness in the South Side Chicago and suburban areas. Late developments such as a national political shift or candidate-specific issues could still influence outcomes, though the district's established voting patterns and low-profile Republican challenge constrain such possibilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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