**Record civic engagement in Israel's October 27, 2026 Knesset election produced a final turnout of 77.7 percent—the highest since 1999—pushing the 74 percent-plus outcome to near-certainty among traders.** The first national vote since the October 2023 attacks and ensuing conflicts in Gaza, Lebanon, and Iran elevated the stakes, spurring broad mobilization across Jewish and Arab communities alike. Arab voter participation reached approximately 80 percent, while soldier turnout exceeded prior cycles. Long lines at polling stations, even amid variable weather, reflected heightened salience rather than routine participation. These verified patterns, confirmed by the Central Elections Committee, align with the market's dominant pricing and leave limited scope for reversal absent extraordinary late adjustments to validated ballots.