Moonshot AI's surprise April 20 rollout of the open-source Kimi K2.6 large language model—excelling in coding benchmarks like 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro and supporting 300 parallel agents over 12-hour runs—signals rapid iteration toward Kimi K3, fueling trader focus on release timelines. Backed by a $500 million Series C funding round in January explicitly for K3 development and compute expansion, credible reports point to a Q3 2026 launch with 2.5 trillion parameters and 1 million-token context, intensifying China's trillion-parameter AI race against global labs like OpenAI and Anthropic. Traders should monitor Moonshot's platform for unannounced drops, as historical patterns show quiet email previews preceding public availability, with no confirmed K3 benchmarks or demos yet.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKimi K3 released by…?
Kimi K3 released by…?
$40,058 Wol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
11%
May 31
6%
$40,058 Wol.
June 30
$3,664 Wol.
11%
May 31
$2,992 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's surprise April 20 rollout of the open-source Kimi K2.6 large language model—excelling in coding benchmarks like 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro and supporting 300 parallel agents over 12-hour runs—signals rapid iteration toward Kimi K3, fueling trader focus on release timelines. Backed by a $500 million Series C funding round in January explicitly for K3 development and compute expansion, credible reports point to a Q3 2026 launch with 2.5 trillion parameters and 1 million-token context, intensifying China's trillion-parameter AI race against global labs like OpenAI and Anthropic. Traders should monitor Moonshot's platform for unannounced drops, as historical patterns show quiet email previews preceding public availability, with no confirmed K3 benchmarks or demos yet.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Wolumen
$40,058Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's surprise April 20 rollout of the open-source Kimi K2.6 large language model—excelling in coding benchmarks like 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro and supporting 300 parallel agents over 12-hour runs—signals rapid iteration toward Kimi K3, fueling trader focus on release timelines. Backed by a $500 million Series C funding round in January explicitly for K3 development and compute expansion, credible reports point to a Q3 2026 launch with 2.5 trillion parameters and 1 million-token context, intensifying China's trillion-parameter AI race against global labs like OpenAI and Anthropic. Traders should monitor Moonshot's platform for unannounced drops, as historical patterns show quiet email previews preceding public availability, with no confirmed K3 benchmarks or demos yet.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$40,058Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI's surprise April 20 rollout of the open-source Kimi K2.6 large language model—excelling in coding benchmarks like 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro and supporting 300 parallel agents over 12-hour runs—signals rapid iteration toward Kimi K3, fueling trader focus on release timelines. Backed by a $500 million Series C funding round in January explicitly for K3 development and compute expansion, credible reports point to a Q3 2026 launch with 2.5 trillion parameters and 1 million-token context, intensifying China's trillion-parameter AI race against global labs like OpenAI and Anthropic. Traders should monitor Moonshot's platform for unannounced drops, as historical patterns show quiet email previews preceding public availability, with no confirmed K3 benchmarks or demos yet.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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