The US government’s June 12 export-control directive, issued by the Commerce Department under Secretary Howard Lutnick, requires Anthropic to block foreign nationals from accessing Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5, citing national security authorities. Anthropic responded by disabling the models for all users because selective enforcement proved technically infeasible. Trader focus centers on the speed of any rescission through direct negotiations, possible legal challenges, or adjustments to the scope of the restrictions. Key variables include the administration’s stance on advanced AI export licensing, Anthropic’s ongoing compliance discussions, and whether new safeguards or partial rollbacks emerge before the market’s resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUS government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?
US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?
NOWE
Jun 16, 2026
June 15
6%
June 30
39%
$331 Wol.
June 15
$28 Wol.
6%
June 30
$303 Wol.
39%
On June 12, 2026, the US government directed Anthropic to suspend access to Fable 5 for foreign nationals, whether inside or outside the United States (see: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals. A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals. Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.
Announcements must specifically relate to the model Fable 5. Qualifying announcements may include that revised US government guidance allows public access to Fable 5 for non-US nationals with additional model safety restrictions; however, if such restrictions cause Anthropic to release the model under a different name, this will not qualify.
The relevant access must be public; adjusted guidance from the United States government that access to Fable 5 may be restored for select companies will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump, including posts from his personal Truth Social account, will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from President Trump, the US government, and Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US government’s June 12 export-control directive, issued by the Commerce Department under Secretary Howard Lutnick, requires Anthropic to block foreign nationals from accessing Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5, citing national security authorities. Anthropic responded by disabling the models for all users because selective enforcement proved technically infeasible. Trader focus centers on the speed of any rescission through direct negotiations, possible legal challenges, or adjustments to the scope of the restrictions. Key variables include the administration’s stance on advanced AI export licensing, Anthropic’s ongoing compliance discussions, and whether new safeguards or partial rollbacks emerge before the market’s resolution window.
On June 12, 2026, the US government directed Anthropic to suspend access to Fable 5 for foreign nationals, whether inside or outside the United States (see: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals. A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals. Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.
Announcements must specifically relate to the model Fable 5. Qualifying announcements may include that revised US government guidance allows public access to Fable 5 for non-US nationals with additional model safety restrictions; however, if such restrictions cause Anthropic to release the model under a different name, this will not qualify.
The relevant access must be public; adjusted guidance from the United States government that access to Fable 5 may be restored for select companies will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump, including posts from his personal Truth Social account, will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from President Trump, the US government, and Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals. A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals. Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.
Announcements must specifically relate to the model Fable 5. Qualifying announcements may include that revised US government guidance allows public access to Fable 5 for non-US nationals with additional model safety restrictions; however, if such restrictions cause Anthropic to release the model under a different name, this will not qualify.
The relevant access must be public; adjusted guidance from the United States government that access to Fable 5 may be restored for select companies will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump, including posts from his personal Truth Social account, will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from President Trump, the US government, and Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 13, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$331Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 12, 2026, the US government directed Anthropic to suspend access to Fable 5 for foreign nationals, whether inside or outside the United States (see: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals. A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals. Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.
Announcements must specifically relate to the model Fable 5. Qualifying announcements may include that revised US government guidance allows public access to Fable 5 for non-US nationals with additional model safety restrictions; however, if such restrictions cause Anthropic to release the model under a different name, this will not qualify.
The relevant access must be public; adjusted guidance from the United States government that access to Fable 5 may be restored for select companies will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump, including posts from his personal Truth Social account, will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from President Trump, the US government, and Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The US government’s June 12 export-control directive, issued by the Commerce Department under Secretary Howard Lutnick, requires Anthropic to block foreign nationals from accessing Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5, citing national security authorities. Anthropic responded by disabling the models for all users because selective enforcement proved technically infeasible. Trader focus centers on the speed of any rescission through direct negotiations, possible legal challenges, or adjustments to the scope of the restrictions. Key variables include the administration’s stance on advanced AI export licensing, Anthropic’s ongoing compliance discussions, and whether new safeguards or partial rollbacks emerge before the market’s resolution window.
On June 12, 2026, the US government directed Anthropic to suspend access to Fable 5 for foreign nationals, whether inside or outside the United States (see: https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals. A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals. Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.
Announcements must specifically relate to the model Fable 5. Qualifying announcements may include that revised US government guidance allows public access to Fable 5 for non-US nationals with additional model safety restrictions; however, if such restrictions cause Anthropic to release the model under a different name, this will not qualify.
The relevant access must be public; adjusted guidance from the United States government that access to Fable 5 may be restored for select companies will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump, including posts from his personal Truth Social account, will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from President Trump, the US government, and Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or Anthropic publicly and officially announce that this directive has been rescinded, waived, modified, or otherwise lifted such that blocking public access to Claude Fable 5 for all non-US nationals is no longer directed by the US federal government by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying announcement must clearly indicate that guidance from the United States federal government no longer directs Anthropic to block public access to Claude Fable 5 for all foreign nationals. A partial lifting of the restriction will qualify, provided it allows renewed public access for at least some non-US nationals. Anthropic announcements that Fable 5 will be released for public access, without announcing qualifying US government guidance, will not count.
Announcements must specifically relate to the model Fable 5. Qualifying announcements may include that revised US government guidance allows public access to Fable 5 for non-US nationals with additional model safety restrictions; however, if such restrictions cause Anthropic to release the model under a different name, this will not qualify.
The relevant access must be public; adjusted guidance from the United States government that access to Fable 5 may be restored for select companies will not qualify.
Written public statements from Donald Trump, including posts from his personal Truth Social account, will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from President Trump, the US government, and Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$331Data zakończenia
Jul 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 13, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US government’s June 12 export-control directive, issued by the Commerce Department under Secretary Howard Lutnick, requires Anthropic to block foreign nationals from accessing Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5, citing national security authorities. Anthropic responded by disabling the models for all users because selective enforcement proved technically infeasible. Trader focus centers on the speed of any rescission through direct negotiations, possible legal challenges, or adjustments to the scope of the restrictions. Key variables include the administration’s stance on advanced AI export licensing, Anthropic’s ongoing compliance discussions, and whether new safeguards or partial rollbacks emerge before the market’s resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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