Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven rapid gains in coding arenas, where models compete head-to-head on tasks like debugging, agentic workflows, and repository-level edits. Claude Opus 5 variants and GPT-5.6 Sol currently lead most leaderboards with strong performance on SWE-Bench, LiveCodeBench, and blind voting arenas, while competitive Chinese models such as Kimi K3 and Qwen variants close gaps at lower cost. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of 2026 model iterations, with new versions frequently boosting Elo-style arena scores and agentic benchmarks. Key catalysts through year-end include additional frontier releases, expanded context windows, and tool-use enhancements that could push top scores higher before December 31.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
$184,999 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
1560
44%
1580
24%
1600
11%
$184,999 Wol.
1560
$88,748 Wol.
44%
1580
$63,352 Wol.
24%
1600
$32,900 Wol.
11%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven rapid gains in coding arenas, where models compete head-to-head on tasks like debugging, agentic workflows, and repository-level edits. Claude Opus 5 variants and GPT-5.6 Sol currently lead most leaderboards with strong performance on SWE-Bench, LiveCodeBench, and blind voting arenas, while competitive Chinese models such as Kimi K3 and Qwen variants close gaps at lower cost. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of 2026 model iterations, with new versions frequently boosting Elo-style arena scores and agentic benchmarks. Key catalysts through year-end include additional frontier releases, expanded context windows, and tool-use enhancements that could push top scores higher before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Rynek otwarty: Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$184,999Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven rapid gains in coding arenas, where models compete head-to-head on tasks like debugging, agentic workflows, and repository-level edits. Claude Opus 5 variants and GPT-5.6 Sol currently lead most leaderboards with strong performance on SWE-Bench, LiveCodeBench, and blind voting arenas, while competitive Chinese models such as Kimi K3 and Qwen variants close gaps at lower cost. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of 2026 model iterations, with new versions frequently boosting Elo-style arena scores and agentic benchmarks. Key catalysts through year-end include additional frontier releases, expanded context windows, and tool-use enhancements that could push top scores higher before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Wolumen
$184,999Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 2, 2026, 6:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent releases from Anthropic and OpenAI have driven rapid gains in coding arenas, where models compete head-to-head on tasks like debugging, agentic workflows, and repository-level edits. Claude Opus 5 variants and GPT-5.6 Sol currently lead most leaderboards with strong performance on SWE-Bench, LiveCodeBench, and blind voting arenas, while competitive Chinese models such as Kimi K3 and Qwen variants close gaps at lower cost. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of 2026 model iterations, with new versions frequently boosting Elo-style arena scores and agentic benchmarks. Key catalysts through year-end include additional frontier releases, expanded context windows, and tool-use enhancements that could push top scores higher before December 31.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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