Meta's rapid iteration on Muse Spark, its proprietary large language model from Meta Superintelligence Labs, drives trader focus on the 1.4+ release timeline. The model family launched in April 2026 with strong multimodal reasoning and multi-agent capabilities, followed by 1.1 in July emphasizing agentic tool use and a 1M-token context window, 1.2 in early August with coding gains, and 1.3 on September 2 delivering further improvements in long-horizon workflows and efficiency—using fewer tool calls than prior versions. This pace positions Meta against frontier competitors like Claude and GPT-5 series on benchmarks such as agentic tasks and scientific reasoning. Key upcoming catalysts include the teased larger "Watermelon" model, an open-weights release, and Meta Model API expansions, which could accelerate or delay the next Spark update amid competitive pressure and internal scaling efforts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNext Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
32%
October 31
53%
$0.00 Wol.
September 30
$0 Wol.
32%
October 31
$0 Wol.
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's rapid iteration on Muse Spark, its proprietary large language model from Meta Superintelligence Labs, drives trader focus on the 1.4+ release timeline. The model family launched in April 2026 with strong multimodal reasoning and multi-agent capabilities, followed by 1.1 in July emphasizing agentic tool use and a 1M-token context window, 1.2 in early August with coding gains, and 1.3 on September 2 delivering further improvements in long-horizon workflows and efficiency—using fewer tool calls than prior versions. This pace positions Meta against frontier competitors like Claude and GPT-5 series on benchmarks such as agentic tasks and scientific reasoning. Key upcoming catalysts include the teased larger "Watermelon" model, an open-weights release, and Meta Model API expansions, which could accelerate or delay the next Spark update amid competitive pressure and internal scaling efforts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta's rapid iteration on Muse Spark, its proprietary large language model from Meta Superintelligence Labs, drives trader focus on the 1.4+ release timeline. The model family launched in April 2026 with strong multimodal reasoning and multi-agent capabilities, followed by 1.1 in July emphasizing agentic tool use and a 1M-token context window, 1.2 in early August with coding gains, and 1.3 on September 2 delivering further improvements in long-horizon workflows and efficiency—using fewer tool calls than prior versions. This pace positions Meta against frontier competitors like Claude and GPT-5 series on benchmarks such as agentic tasks and scientific reasoning. Key upcoming catalysts include the teased larger "Watermelon" model, an open-weights release, and Meta Model API expansions, which could accelerate or delay the next Spark update amid competitive pressure and internal scaling efforts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Meta's rapid iteration on Muse Spark, its proprietary large language model from Meta Superintelligence Labs, drives trader focus on the 1.4+ release timeline. The model family launched in April 2026 with strong multimodal reasoning and multi-agent capabilities, followed by 1.1 in July emphasizing agentic tool use and a 1M-token context window, 1.2 in early August with coding gains, and 1.3 on September 2 delivering further improvements in long-horizon workflows and efficiency—using fewer tool calls than prior versions. This pace positions Meta against frontier competitors like Claude and GPT-5 series on benchmarks such as agentic tasks and scientific reasoning. Key upcoming catalysts include the teased larger "Watermelon" model, an open-weights release, and Meta Model API expansions, which could accelerate or delay the next Spark update amid competitive pressure and internal scaling efforts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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