**Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 30, 2026, centered around 16–17°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes of 64.5% for 17°C and 33.5% for 16°C.** Mild southwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 15–17°C, and persistent cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~13.4°C. Recent model consensus shows little spread, with highs near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light precipitation risk, supporting the narrow probability distribution. Upcoming official updates from Météo-France and refined ensemble runs overnight will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 30?
17°C 65%
16°C 34%
18°C 4%
21°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
34%
17°C
65%
18°C
4%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 65%
16°C 34%
18°C 4%
21°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
12°C or below
$225 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$243 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$21 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$696 Wol.
34%
17°C
$1,084 Wol.
65%
18°C
$220 Wol.
4%
19°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$136 Wol.
<1%
22°C or higher
$45 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 30, 2026, centered around 16–17°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes of 64.5% for 17°C and 33.5% for 16°C.**
Mild southwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 15–17°C, and persistent cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~13.4°C. Recent model consensus shows little spread, with highs near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light precipitation risk, supporting the narrow probability distribution.
Upcoming official updates from Météo-France and refined ensemble runs overnight will provide the final guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,699Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 30, 2026, centered around 16–17°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes of 64.5% for 17°C and 33.5% for 16°C.**
Mild southwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 15–17°C, and persistent cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~13.4°C. Recent model consensus shows little spread, with highs near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light precipitation risk, supporting the narrow probability distribution.
Upcoming official updates from Météo-France and refined ensemble runs overnight will provide the final guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,699Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including GFS indicate a minimum temperature in Paris on August 30, 2026, centered around 16–17°C, consistent with the market’s leading outcomes of 64.5% for 17°C and 33.5% for 16°C.** Mild southwesterly flow, elevated dew points near 15–17°C, and persistent cloud cover are limiting overnight radiative cooling, keeping the low well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of ~13.4°C. Recent model consensus shows little spread, with highs near 23–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and light precipitation risk, supporting the narrow probability distribution. Upcoming official updates from Météo-France and refined ensemble runs overnight will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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