**Mild, cloudy conditions with southerly flow are keeping overnight lows elevated above the late-August climatological average of ~13.5°C.** Official forecasts and early observations for 29 August 2026 show the temperature bottoming out near 16–17°C, with multiple model runs and local reports indicating a minimum around 17°C under overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, and sustained winds from the south-southwest that limit radiative cooling. This setup—high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and minimal clear-sky cooling—explains why the market assigns ~90% implied probability to exactly 17°C as the daily low, with only modest odds on 16°C. Historical analogs and current model consensus support little chance of sharper drops, as the same synoptic pattern has held through the preceding 24–48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 29?
17°C 91%
16°C 9%
14°C 2%
15°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
2%
16°C
9%
17°C
91%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 91%
16°C 9%
14°C 2%
15°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
11°C or below
$273 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$173 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$494 Wol.
1%
14°C
$373 Wol.
2%
15°C
$475 Wol.
2%
16°C
$1,341 Wol.
9%
17°C
$957 Wol.
91%
18°C
$1,207 Wol.
1%
19°C
$225 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$158 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$318 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild, cloudy conditions with southerly flow are keeping overnight lows elevated above the late-August climatological average of ~13.5°C.** Official forecasts and early observations for 29 August 2026 show the temperature bottoming out near 16–17°C, with multiple model runs and local reports indicating a minimum around 17°C under overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, and sustained winds from the south-southwest that limit radiative cooling.
This setup—high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and minimal clear-sky cooling—explains why the market assigns ~90% implied probability to exactly 17°C as the daily low, with only modest odds on 16°C. Historical analogs and current model consensus support little chance of sharper drops, as the same synoptic pattern has held through the preceding 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,977Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Mild, cloudy conditions with southerly flow are keeping overnight lows elevated above the late-August climatological average of ~13.5°C.** Official forecasts and early observations for 29 August 2026 show the temperature bottoming out near 16–17°C, with multiple model runs and local reports indicating a minimum around 17°C under overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, and sustained winds from the south-southwest that limit radiative cooling.
This setup—high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and minimal clear-sky cooling—explains why the market assigns ~90% implied probability to exactly 17°C as the daily low, with only modest odds on 16°C. Historical analogs and current model consensus support little chance of sharper drops, as the same synoptic pattern has held through the preceding 24–48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,977Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Mild, cloudy conditions with southerly flow are keeping overnight lows elevated above the late-August climatological average of ~13.5°C.** Official forecasts and early observations for 29 August 2026 show the temperature bottoming out near 16–17°C, with multiple model runs and local reports indicating a minimum around 17°C under overcast skies, light rain or drizzle, and sustained winds from the south-southwest that limit radiative cooling. This setup—high humidity, persistent cloud cover, and minimal clear-sky cooling—explains why the market assigns ~90% implied probability to exactly 17°C as the daily low, with only modest odds on 16°C. Historical analogs and current model consensus support little chance of sharper drops, as the same synoptic pattern has held through the preceding 24–48 hours.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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