**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29, 2026, reflects tight clustering around 29–30°C (combined ~74.5% implied probability), driven by late-summer atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast uncertainty.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport forecasts a daytime maximum near 30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Ensemble and global models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover, timing of any convection, and weak westerly flow that can enhance or suppress peak heating. Incheon’s coastal location adds a moderating sea-breeze influence that often caps temperatures relative to inland Seoul. Key differentiating factors include solar insolation under broken cloud decks versus clearer intervals, boundary-layer moisture and any evaporative cooling from scattered rain, and the precise evolution of a weak upper-level trough. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers near 29–30°C, so the market is pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current model consensus and typical day-to-day variability in this regime. Newer model runs or afternoon updates on cloud trends and precipitation timing remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
29°C 38%
30°C 37%
31°C 13%
28°C 12%
NOWE
$13,748 Wol.
NOWE
$13,748 Wol.
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
12%
29°C
38%
30°C
37%
31°C
13%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 37%
31°C 13%
28°C 12%
NOWE
$13,748 Wol.
NOWE
$13,748 Wol.
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
$422 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$818 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$650 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$2,819 Wol.
1%
27°C
$3,443 Wol.
2%
28°C
$1,889 Wol.
12%
29°C
$960 Wol.
38%
30°C
$1,116 Wol.
37%
31°C
$1,305 Wol.
13%
32°C
$110 Wol.
1%
33°C or higher
$216 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29, 2026, reflects tight clustering around 29–30°C (combined ~74.5% implied probability), driven by late-summer atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast uncertainty.**
Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport forecasts a daytime maximum near 30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Ensemble and global models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover, timing of any convection, and weak westerly flow that can enhance or suppress peak heating. Incheon’s coastal location adds a moderating sea-breeze influence that often caps temperatures relative to inland Seoul.
Key differentiating factors include solar insolation under broken cloud decks versus clearer intervals, boundary-layer moisture and any evaporative cooling from scattered rain, and the precise evolution of a weak upper-level trough. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers near 29–30°C, so the market is pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current model consensus and typical day-to-day variability in this regime. Newer model runs or afternoon updates on cloud trends and precipitation timing remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,748Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29, 2026, reflects tight clustering around 29–30°C (combined ~74.5% implied probability), driven by late-summer atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast uncertainty.**
Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport forecasts a daytime maximum near 30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Ensemble and global models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover, timing of any convection, and weak westerly flow that can enhance or suppress peak heating. Incheon’s coastal location adds a moderating sea-breeze influence that often caps temperatures relative to inland Seoul.
Key differentiating factors include solar insolation under broken cloud decks versus clearer intervals, boundary-layer moisture and any evaporative cooling from scattered rain, and the precise evolution of a weak upper-level trough. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers near 29–30°C, so the market is pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current model consensus and typical day-to-day variability in this regime. Newer model runs or afternoon updates on cloud trends and precipitation timing remain the primary near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,748Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29, 2026, reflects tight clustering around 29–30°C (combined ~74.5% implied probability), driven by late-summer atmospheric conditions and short-range forecast uncertainty.** Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and Incheon International Airport forecasts a daytime maximum near 30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with a 50–70% chance of showers or thunderstorms. Ensemble and global models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover, timing of any convection, and weak westerly flow that can enhance or suppress peak heating. Incheon’s coastal location adds a moderating sea-breeze influence that often caps temperatures relative to inland Seoul. Key differentiating factors include solar insolation under broken cloud decks versus clearer intervals, boundary-layer moisture and any evaporative cooling from scattered rain, and the precise evolution of a weak upper-level trough. Historical late-August climatology for the region centers near 29–30°C, so the market is pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current model consensus and typical day-to-day variability in this regime. Newer model runs or afternoon updates on cloud trends and precipitation timing remain the primary near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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