Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high probability of widespread thunderstorms and moderate to heavy rainfall on August 30, driven by regional moisture convergence and a lingering active monsoon trough. These conditions are expected to increase cloud cover, reduce incoming solar radiation, and promote evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima near or slightly below the seasonal late-August average of 33°C. Numerical guidance from sources such as GFS and regional models shows highs clustering between 31–34°C, with the spread reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader sentiment, reflected in tightly grouped probabilities around 32–34°C, incorporates this model consensus while acknowledging that lighter or delayed precipitation could allow brief clearing and push readings higher, or heavier showers could suppress them further. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
34°C 24%
32°C 22%
33°C 21%
36°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
6%
30°C
6%
31°C
11%
32°C
22%
33°C
21%
34°C
24%
35°C
8%
36°C
19%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 24%
32°C 22%
33°C 21%
36°C 19%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
27°C or below
$50 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$350 Wol.
1%
29°C
$83 Wol.
6%
30°C
$7 Wol.
6%
31°C
$23 Wol.
11%
32°C
$49 Wol.
22%
33°C
$0 Wol.
21%
34°C
$0 Wol.
24%
35°C
$58 Wol.
8%
36°C
$5 Wol.
19%
37°C or higher
$40 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high probability of widespread thunderstorms and moderate to heavy rainfall on August 30, driven by regional moisture convergence and a lingering active monsoon trough. These conditions are expected to increase cloud cover, reduce incoming solar radiation, and promote evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima near or slightly below the seasonal late-August average of 33°C. Numerical guidance from sources such as GFS and regional models shows highs clustering between 31–34°C, with the spread reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader sentiment, reflected in tightly grouped probabilities around 32–34°C, incorporates this model consensus while acknowledging that lighter or delayed precipitation could allow brief clearing and push readings higher, or heavier showers could suppress them further. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$665Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high probability of widespread thunderstorms and moderate to heavy rainfall on August 30, driven by regional moisture convergence and a lingering active monsoon trough. These conditions are expected to increase cloud cover, reduce incoming solar radiation, and promote evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima near or slightly below the seasonal late-August average of 33°C. Numerical guidance from sources such as GFS and regional models shows highs clustering between 31–34°C, with the spread reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader sentiment, reflected in tightly grouped probabilities around 32–34°C, incorporates this model consensus while acknowledging that lighter or delayed precipitation could allow brief clearing and push readings higher, or heavier showers could suppress them further. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$665Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Guangzhou indicate a high probability of widespread thunderstorms and moderate to heavy rainfall on August 30, driven by regional moisture convergence and a lingering active monsoon trough. These conditions are expected to increase cloud cover, reduce incoming solar radiation, and promote evaporative cooling, capping daytime maxima near or slightly below the seasonal late-August average of 33°C. Numerical guidance from sources such as GFS and regional models shows highs clustering between 31–34°C, with the spread reflecting uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity. Trader sentiment, reflected in tightly grouped probabilities around 32–34°C, incorporates this model consensus while acknowledging that lighter or delayed precipitation could allow brief clearing and push readings higher, or heavier showers could suppress them further. Updated runs from the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts for any odds shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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