Recent forecast models from agencies including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources converge on a maximum of 31–32°C for August 30, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to limit afternoon insolation and cap the diurnal temperature range. High humidity near 80–90% and dew points around 25–26°C further constrain surface heating, while persistent cloud cover from the regional monsoon pattern reduces solar radiation compared to clearer days. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August in Shenzhen’s subtropical climate, where typical highs reach 31–32°C amid frequent convective activity. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C reflect model spread and uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 30?
32°C 31%
31°C 28%
33°C 18%
30°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
7%
30°C
17%
31°C
28%
32°C
31%
33°C
18%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 31%
31°C 28%
33°C 18%
30°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 30, 2026
25°C or below
$46 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$56 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$75 Wol.
1%
28°C
$126 Wol.
3%
29°C
$0 Wol.
7%
30°C
$11 Wol.
17%
31°C
$0 Wol.
28%
32°C
$30 Wol.
31%
33°C
$2 Wol.
18%
34°C
$0 Wol.
11%
35°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources converge on a maximum of 31–32°C for August 30, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to limit afternoon insolation and cap the diurnal temperature range. High humidity near 80–90% and dew points around 25–26°C further constrain surface heating, while persistent cloud cover from the regional monsoon pattern reduces solar radiation compared to clearer days. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August in Shenzhen’s subtropical climate, where typical highs reach 31–32°C amid frequent convective activity. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C reflect model spread and uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$345Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources converge on a maximum of 31–32°C for August 30, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to limit afternoon insolation and cap the diurnal temperature range. High humidity near 80–90% and dew points around 25–26°C further constrain surface heating, while persistent cloud cover from the regional monsoon pattern reduces solar radiation compared to clearer days. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August in Shenzhen’s subtropical climate, where typical highs reach 31–32°C amid frequent convective activity. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C reflect model spread and uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$345Data zakończenia
Aug 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies including the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and international sources converge on a maximum of 31–32°C for August 30, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to limit afternoon insolation and cap the diurnal temperature range. High humidity near 80–90% and dew points around 25–26°C further constrain surface heating, while persistent cloud cover from the regional monsoon pattern reduces solar radiation compared to clearer days. These conditions align with climatological norms for late August in Shenzhen’s subtropical climate, where typical highs reach 31–32°C amid frequent convective activity. The closely matched market-implied probabilities for 31°C and 32°C reflect model spread and uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and intensity.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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