Recent model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty in peak daytime heating for Shenzhen tomorrow, with ensemble guidance splitting between 33–35°C amid variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 80%, and light wind patterns that limit mixing. Late-August climatology places typical highs around 32–34°C, but urban heat island effects and any lingering moisture from regional systems could nudge readings higher or suppress them depending on exact timing of clearing. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 33–34°C because small forecast shifts in insolation or boundary-layer conditions can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C, with final official observations determining resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
34°C 29%
33°C 29%
35°C 18%
32°C 16%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
16%
33°C
29%
34°C
29%
35°C
18%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 29%
33°C 29%
35°C 18%
32°C 16%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
3%
32°C
16%
33°C
29%
34°C
29%
35°C
18%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show high uncertainty in peak daytime heating for Shenzhen tomorrow, with ensemble guidance splitting between 33–35°C amid variable cloud cover, humidity levels near 80%, and light wind patterns that limit mixing. Late-August climatology places typical highs around 32–34°C, but urban heat island effects and any lingering moisture from regional systems could nudge readings higher or suppress them depending on exact timing of clearing. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 33–34°C because small forecast shifts in insolation or boundary-layer conditions can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C, with final official observations determining resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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