Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Shenzhen on August 29 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical setting. Light southerly winds and elevated dew points further suppress sharp drops, consistent with climatological August averages around 25–26°C. Trader consensus favoring 27°C or 26°C reflects these stable conditions, while the notable share assigned to 22°C or below likely stems from uncertainty over localized heavy rain bands or model variability in timing of any brief clear spells. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine overnight trends ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
30°C 78%
31°C 78%
27°C 45%
26°C 44%
22°C or below
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
42%
26°C
44%
27°C
45%
28°C
42%
29°C
41%
30°C
78%
31°C
78%
32°C or higher
1%
30°C 78%
31°C 78%
27°C 45%
26°C 44%
22°C or below
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
8%
25°C
42%
26°C
44%
27°C
45%
28°C
42%
29°C
41%
30°C
78%
31°C
78%
32°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models indicate a minimum temperature near 26–27°C in Shenzhen on August 29 amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered thunderstorms, which limit nocturnal radiative cooling in this subtropical setting. Light southerly winds and elevated dew points further suppress sharp drops, consistent with climatological August averages around 25–26°C. Trader consensus favoring 27°C or 26°C reflects these stable conditions, while the notable share assigned to 22°C or below likely stems from uncertainty over localized heavy rain bands or model variability in timing of any brief clear spells. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine overnight trends ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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