Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 13–14°C in Mexico City amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and high humidity that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions, combined with typical August patterns of 12°C average minima and urban heat retention, explain the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes while assigning low probability to single-digit readings. Key variables include exact timing of clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow brief additional cooling before dawn, with final resolution depending on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Mexico City on August 29?
13°C 47%
11°C 4%
12°C 3%
16°C 1.0%
$904 Wol.
$904 Wol.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
3%
13°C
47%
14°C
45%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 47%
11°C 4%
12°C 3%
16°C 1.0%
$904 Wol.
$904 Wol.
Aug 29, 2026
9°C or below
$135 Wol.
1%
10°C
$84 Wol.
1%
11°C
$49 Wol.
4%
12°C
$17 Wol.
3%
13°C
$0 Wol.
47%
14°C
$11 Wol.
45%
15°C
$314 Wol.
1%
16°C
$112 Wol.
1%
17°C
$84 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$30 Wol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$67 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 13–14°C in Mexico City amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and high humidity that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions, combined with typical August patterns of 12°C average minima and urban heat retention, explain the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes while assigning low probability to single-digit readings. Key variables include exact timing of clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow brief additional cooling before dawn, with final resolution depending on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Wolumen
$904Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 13–14°C in Mexico City amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and high humidity that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions, combined with typical August patterns of 12°C average minima and urban heat retention, explain the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes while assigning low probability to single-digit readings. Key variables include exact timing of clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow brief additional cooling before dawn, with final resolution depending on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$904Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 9:30 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on overnight lows of 13–14°C in Mexico City amid persistent cloud cover, scattered rain, and high humidity that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions, combined with typical August patterns of 12°C average minima and urban heat retention, explain the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes while assigning low probability to single-digit readings. Key variables include exact timing of clearing skies or wind shifts that could allow brief additional cooling before dawn, with final resolution depending on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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