**Current forecasts from major models and agencies, including NWS Seattle and WeatherBug, point to a Monday, August 31 overnight low near 55–56°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds.** This aligns closely with the market’s top two outcomes (54–55°F at 54.0% and 56–57°F at 48.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance showing continued moderation from marine air off Puget Sound. Recent developments include a transition from showery, cooler conditions earlier in the weekend (lows in the low-to-mid 50s) to drier air and slightly higher daytime highs near 70°F. Radiative cooling overnight under reduced cloud cover and calm winds supports the expected minimum, consistent with the long-term August 31 average low of 55.4°F. Minor model differences in dew-point forecasts or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around the 54–57°F range, while lower-probability bins (e.g., 52–53°F or 58–59°F) would require greater-than-expected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. Traders are weighting the high agreement among short-range models and the absence of incoming systems that could alter overnight temperatures before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Seattle on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on August 31?
50-51°F 88%
58-59°F 80%
60-61°F 76%
62-63°F 72%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
60%
48-49°F
59%
50-51°F
88%
52-53°F
43%
54-55°F
54%
56-57°F
47%
58-59°F
80%
60-61°F
76%
62-63°F
72%
64-65°F
57%
66°F or higher
59%
50-51°F 88%
58-59°F 80%
60-61°F 76%
62-63°F 72%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 31, 2026
47°F or below
$0 Wol.
60%
48-49°F
$0 Wol.
59%
50-51°F
$0 Wol.
88%
52-53°F
$0 Wol.
43%
54-55°F
$0 Wol.
54%
56-57°F
$0 Wol.
47%
58-59°F
$0 Wol.
80%
60-61°F
$0 Wol.
76%
62-63°F
$0 Wol.
72%
64-65°F
$0 Wol.
57%
66°F or higher
$0 Wol.
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from major models and agencies, including NWS Seattle and WeatherBug, point to a Monday, August 31 overnight low near 55–56°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds.** This aligns closely with the market’s top two outcomes (54–55°F at 54.0% and 56–57°F at 48.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance showing continued moderation from marine air off Puget Sound.
Recent developments include a transition from showery, cooler conditions earlier in the weekend (lows in the low-to-mid 50s) to drier air and slightly higher daytime highs near 70°F. Radiative cooling overnight under reduced cloud cover and calm winds supports the expected minimum, consistent with the long-term August 31 average low of 55.4°F. Minor model differences in dew-point forecasts or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around the 54–57°F range, while lower-probability bins (e.g., 52–53°F or 58–59°F) would require greater-than-expected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow.
Traders are weighting the high agreement among short-range models and the absence of incoming systems that could alter overnight temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from major models and agencies, including NWS Seattle and WeatherBug, point to a Monday, August 31 overnight low near 55–56°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds.** This aligns closely with the market’s top two outcomes (54–55°F at 54.0% and 56–57°F at 48.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance showing continued moderation from marine air off Puget Sound.
Recent developments include a transition from showery, cooler conditions earlier in the weekend (lows in the low-to-mid 50s) to drier air and slightly higher daytime highs near 70°F. Radiative cooling overnight under reduced cloud cover and calm winds supports the expected minimum, consistent with the long-term August 31 average low of 55.4°F. Minor model differences in dew-point forecasts or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around the 54–57°F range, while lower-probability bins (e.g., 52–53°F or 58–59°F) would require greater-than-expected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow.
Traders are weighting the high agreement among short-range models and the absence of incoming systems that could alter overnight temperatures before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Aug 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 29, 2026, 7:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from major models and agencies, including NWS Seattle and WeatherBug, point to a Monday, August 31 overnight low near 55–56°F under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds.** This aligns closely with the market’s top two outcomes (54–55°F at 54.0% and 56–57°F at 48.5%), reflecting trader consensus on the National Weather Service and ensemble guidance showing continued moderation from marine air off Puget Sound. Recent developments include a transition from showery, cooler conditions earlier in the weekend (lows in the low-to-mid 50s) to drier air and slightly higher daytime highs near 70°F. Radiative cooling overnight under reduced cloud cover and calm winds supports the expected minimum, consistent with the long-term August 31 average low of 55.4°F. Minor model differences in dew-point forecasts or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around the 54–57°F range, while lower-probability bins (e.g., 52–53°F or 58–59°F) would require greater-than-expected cloud cover or stronger onshore flow. Traders are weighting the high agreement among short-range models and the absence of incoming systems that could alter overnight temperatures before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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