Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Luzon continues to drive scattered rains, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Metro Manila, limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing maximum temperatures below the typical late-August average of 31°C. Official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble models indicate likely highs of 26–29°C on August 29, with moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds and high humidity further moderating peaks. This atmospheric setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon strength ahead of the resolution window remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 29?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 29?
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
27°C 19%
30°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
10%
27°C
19%
28°C
21%
29°C
21%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
4%
28°C 21%
29°C 21%
27°C 19%
30°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 29, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
24°C
$0 Wol.
2%
25°C
$0 Wol.
5%
26°C
$2 Wol.
10%
27°C
$0 Wol.
19%
28°C
$0 Wol.
21%
29°C
$0 Wol.
21%
30°C
$0 Wol.
15%
31°C
$0 Wol.
5%
32°C
$228 Wol.
4%
33°C or higher
$100 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Luzon continues to drive scattered rains, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Metro Manila, limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing maximum temperatures below the typical late-August average of 31°C. Official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble models indicate likely highs of 26–29°C on August 29, with moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds and high humidity further moderating peaks. This atmospheric setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon strength ahead of the resolution window remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$330Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Luzon continues to drive scattered rains, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Metro Manila, limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing maximum temperatures below the typical late-August average of 31°C. Official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble models indicate likely highs of 26–29°C on August 29, with moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds and high humidity further moderating peaks. This atmospheric setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon strength ahead of the resolution window remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$330Data zakończenia
Aug 29, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 27, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity over Luzon continues to drive scattered rains, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover across Metro Manila, limiting daytime solar heating and suppressing maximum temperatures below the typical late-August average of 31°C. Official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble models indicate likely highs of 26–29°C on August 29, with moderate-to-strong southwesterly winds and high humidity further moderating peaks. This atmospheric setup explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C. Updated model runs and any shifts in monsoon strength ahead of the resolution window remain the key variables traders are monitoring.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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