Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate a cooling trend into August 27, with highs projected near 22–24°C amid increased cloud cover, moderate winds, and possible passing showers that limit daytime heating. This follows warmer conditions around 28–29°C on the prior days, driven by a shift in the regional air mass and reduced solar insolation. Trader consensus clustering on 24–25°C reflects model agreement on these factors, while small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any frontal boundary, variations in cloud thickness, and localized wind speeds that could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 31°C underscore the anomaly, with resolution depending on official AEMET observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
24°C 35%
25°C 27%
23°C 19%
26°C 16%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
35%
25°C
27%
26°C
16%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
25°C 27%
23°C 19%
26°C 16%
21°C or below
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
19%
24°C
35%
25°C
27%
26°C
16%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Met Office and BBC indicate a cooling trend into August 27, with highs projected near 22–24°C amid increased cloud cover, moderate winds, and possible passing showers that limit daytime heating. This follows warmer conditions around 28–29°C on the prior days, driven by a shift in the regional air mass and reduced solar insolation. Trader consensus clustering on 24–25°C reflects model agreement on these factors, while small differences among leading outcomes hinge on the precise timing of any frontal boundary, variations in cloud thickness, and localized wind speeds that could nudge the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical late-August averages near 31°C underscore the anomaly, with resolution depending on official AEMET observations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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