Trader consensus centers on a 32°C high for Guangzhou on August 27 as the modal outcome, reflecting ensemble model guidance showing afternoon temperatures peaking near that level under scattered thundershowers and persistent monsoon humidity. Recent forecasts from regional monitoring indicate patchy rain possible that day, which could enhance cloud cover and limit solar heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week, while typical late-August climatology for the Pearl River Delta supports highs of 31–33°C. Key variables include steering patterns that determine shower timing, boundary-layer moisture influencing diurnal rise, and urban heat effects that may push localized readings higher. Market-implied odds spread across 31–34°C capture forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 27?
32°C 32%
33°C 22%
31°C 20%
34°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
5%
30°C
10%
31°C
20%
32°C
32%
33°C
22%
34°C
14%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 32%
33°C 22%
31°C 20%
34°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$385 Wol.
1%
26°C
$389 Wol.
1%
27°C
$331 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$5 Wol.
2%
29°C
$5 Wol.
5%
30°C
$5 Wol.
10%
31°C
$9 Wol.
20%
32°C
$64 Wol.
32%
33°C
$55 Wol.
22%
34°C
$27 Wol.
14%
35°C or higher
$105 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 32°C high for Guangzhou on August 27 as the modal outcome, reflecting ensemble model guidance showing afternoon temperatures peaking near that level under scattered thundershowers and persistent monsoon humidity. Recent forecasts from regional monitoring indicate patchy rain possible that day, which could enhance cloud cover and limit solar heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week, while typical late-August climatology for the Pearl River Delta supports highs of 31–33°C. Key variables include steering patterns that determine shower timing, boundary-layer moisture influencing diurnal rise, and urban heat effects that may push localized readings higher. Market-implied odds spread across 31–34°C capture forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,379Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on a 32°C high for Guangzhou on August 27 as the modal outcome, reflecting ensemble model guidance showing afternoon temperatures peaking near that level under scattered thundershowers and persistent monsoon humidity. Recent forecasts from regional monitoring indicate patchy rain possible that day, which could enhance cloud cover and limit solar heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week, while typical late-August climatology for the Pearl River Delta supports highs of 31–33°C. Key variables include steering patterns that determine shower timing, boundary-layer moisture influencing diurnal rise, and urban heat effects that may push localized readings higher. Market-implied odds spread across 31–34°C capture forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,379Data zakończenia
Aug 27, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on a 32°C high for Guangzhou on August 27 as the modal outcome, reflecting ensemble model guidance showing afternoon temperatures peaking near that level under scattered thundershowers and persistent monsoon humidity. Recent forecasts from regional monitoring indicate patchy rain possible that day, which could enhance cloud cover and limit solar heating compared to clearer conditions earlier in the week, while typical late-August climatology for the Pearl River Delta supports highs of 31–33°C. Key variables include steering patterns that determine shower timing, boundary-layer moisture influencing diurnal rise, and urban heat effects that may push localized readings higher. Market-implied odds spread across 31–34°C capture forecast uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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