Recent official forecasts from Hubei Meteorological authorities project a high of 37–38°C in Wuhan on August 27 under multi-cloud to sunny skies with light northerly winds and only isolated showers possible. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, where 38°C holds 42.5% implied probability and 37°C follows at 30%, reflecting consensus on strong solar heating during the post-sanfu period before typhoon-related moisture arrives around August 30. Model runs show minimal cooling risk on the 27th, though scattered convection could trim the peak by 1°C in some scenarios, supporting the narrower spread around 37–39°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 27?
38°C 43%
37°C 30%
39°C 21%
36°C 7%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
7%
37°C
30%
38°C
43%
39°C
21%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 43%
37°C 30%
39°C 21%
36°C 7%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
7%
37°C
30%
38°C
43%
39°C
21%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Hubei Meteorological authorities project a high of 37–38°C in Wuhan on August 27 under multi-cloud to sunny skies with light northerly winds and only isolated showers possible. This aligns with the market’s leading outcomes, where 38°C holds 42.5% implied probability and 37°C follows at 30%, reflecting consensus on strong solar heating during the post-sanfu period before typhoon-related moisture arrives around August 30. Model runs show minimal cooling risk on the 27th, though scattered convection could trim the peak by 1°C in some scenarios, supporting the narrower spread around 37–39°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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