Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will see increased cloud cover and precipitation on August 26 from an advancing weather system, suppressing daytime heating after recent highs near 32–34°C. This setup favors a maximum temperature clustered around 25–27°C, aligning with the near-tied market-implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C. Key variables include the timing and intensity of rain, which could limit solar radiation and cap the peak, versus any brief clearing that might allow a brief spike. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced moisture and northerly flow. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact high before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 26?
27°C 26%
26°C 25%
25°C 17%
28°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
14%
25°C
17%
26°C
25%
27°C
26%
28°C
16%
29°C
12%
30°C or higher
8%
27°C 26%
26°C 25%
25°C 17%
28°C 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
20°C or below
$15 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$376 Wol.
14%
25°C
$8 Wol.
17%
26°C
$5 Wol.
25%
27°C
$20 Wol.
26%
28°C
$0 Wol.
16%
29°C
$20 Wol.
12%
30°C or higher
$149 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will see increased cloud cover and precipitation on August 26 from an advancing weather system, suppressing daytime heating after recent highs near 32–34°C. This setup favors a maximum temperature clustered around 25–27°C, aligning with the near-tied market-implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C. Key variables include the timing and intensity of rain, which could limit solar radiation and cap the peak, versus any brief clearing that might allow a brief spike. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced moisture and northerly flow. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$593Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will see increased cloud cover and precipitation on August 26 from an advancing weather system, suppressing daytime heating after recent highs near 32–34°C. This setup favors a maximum temperature clustered around 25–27°C, aligning with the near-tied market-implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C. Key variables include the timing and intensity of rain, which could limit solar radiation and cap the peak, versus any brief clearing that might allow a brief spike. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced moisture and northerly flow. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$593Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Beijing will see increased cloud cover and precipitation on August 26 from an advancing weather system, suppressing daytime heating after recent highs near 32–34°C. This setup favors a maximum temperature clustered around 25–27°C, aligning with the near-tied market-implied probabilities for 26°C and 27°C. Key variables include the timing and intensity of rain, which could limit solar radiation and cap the peak, versus any brief clearing that might allow a brief spike. Historical August averages near 30°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced moisture and northerly flow. Updated model runs and official observations from the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact high before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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