Recent numerical weather prediction models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou on August 26, favoring a maximum near 30–32°C and explaining the market’s broad probability spread. Southeast winds and monsoon-driven moisture are expected to promote convective development, with rainfall timing and intensity as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Model runs show some divergence on exact cloud breaks, while climatological August highs near 33°C provide context for why clearer intervals could briefly allow 33°C or higher. Updated forecasts from regional agencies over the next 48 hours remain the key data points for traders assessing resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 26?
31°C 32%
32°C 20%
30°C 16%
29°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
10%
29°C
14%
30°C
16%
31°C
32%
32°C
20%
33°C
12%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 32%
32°C 20%
30°C 16%
29°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Wol.
1%
28°C
$0 Wol.
10%
29°C
$0 Wol.
14%
30°C
$0 Wol.
16%
31°C
$53 Wol.
32%
32°C
$0 Wol.
20%
33°C
$12 Wol.
12%
34°C
$60 Wol.
8%
35°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou on August 26, favoring a maximum near 30–32°C and explaining the market’s broad probability spread. Southeast winds and monsoon-driven moisture are expected to promote convective development, with rainfall timing and intensity as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Model runs show some divergence on exact cloud breaks, while climatological August highs near 33°C provide context for why clearer intervals could briefly allow 33°C or higher. Updated forecasts from regional agencies over the next 48 hours remain the key data points for traders assessing resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$125Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou on August 26, favoring a maximum near 30–32°C and explaining the market’s broad probability spread. Southeast winds and monsoon-driven moisture are expected to promote convective development, with rainfall timing and intensity as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Model runs show some divergence on exact cloud breaks, while climatological August highs near 33°C provide context for why clearer intervals could briefly allow 33°C or higher. Updated forecasts from regional agencies over the next 48 hours remain the key data points for traders assessing resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$125Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models point to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms suppressing daytime heating in Guangzhou on August 26, favoring a maximum near 30–32°C and explaining the market’s broad probability spread. Southeast winds and monsoon-driven moisture are expected to promote convective development, with rainfall timing and intensity as the main variables that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Model runs show some divergence on exact cloud breaks, while climatological August highs near 33°C provide context for why clearer intervals could briefly allow 33°C or higher. Updated forecasts from regional agencies over the next 48 hours remain the key data points for traders assessing resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania