Recent model consensus from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory points to widespread cloud cover and showers on August 24, capping daytime heating and favoring maximum temperatures near 30–31°C. Typical August climatology supports highs around 31–32°C under clearer skies, but persistent moisture and southwesterly flow are expected to reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Traders weigh these dynamics against minor model disagreements on shower timing and intensity, which could allow brief breaks of sun and push readings to 32°C or hold them at 29°C. Seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide background context but yield little day-specific signal this close to the event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 24?
30°C 33%
31°C 32%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
17%
30°C
33%
31°C
32%
32°C
14%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 33%
31°C 32%
29°C 17%
32°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 24, 2026
24°C or below
$158 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$58 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$60 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$726 Wol.
1%
28°C
$48 Wol.
5%
29°C
$226 Wol.
17%
30°C
$193 Wol.
33%
31°C
$115 Wol.
32%
32°C
$94 Wol.
14%
33°C
$153 Wol.
4%
34°C or higher
$150 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory points to widespread cloud cover and showers on August 24, capping daytime heating and favoring maximum temperatures near 30–31°C. Typical August climatology supports highs around 31–32°C under clearer skies, but persistent moisture and southwesterly flow are expected to reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Traders weigh these dynamics against minor model disagreements on shower timing and intensity, which could allow brief breaks of sun and push readings to 32°C or hold them at 29°C. Seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide background context but yield little day-specific signal this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,981Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory points to widespread cloud cover and showers on August 24, capping daytime heating and favoring maximum temperatures near 30–31°C. Typical August climatology supports highs around 31–32°C under clearer skies, but persistent moisture and southwesterly flow are expected to reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Traders weigh these dynamics against minor model disagreements on shower timing and intensity, which could allow brief breaks of sun and push readings to 32°C or hold them at 29°C. Seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide background context but yield little day-specific signal this close to the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,981Data zakończenia
Aug 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory points to widespread cloud cover and showers on August 24, capping daytime heating and favoring maximum temperatures near 30–31°C. Typical August climatology supports highs around 31–32°C under clearer skies, but persistent moisture and southwesterly flow are expected to reduce insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Traders weigh these dynamics against minor model disagreements on shower timing and intensity, which could allow brief breaks of sun and push readings to 32°C or hold them at 29°C. Seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures provide background context but yield little day-specific signal this close to the event.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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