Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate Shanghai's August 22 high will likely reach 30–31°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thundershowers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs hover near 30–32°C but precipitation and elevated humidity often suppress peaks below seasonal maxima. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C reflect consensus across ensemble runs showing modest warming potential if breaks in cloud occur, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above account for the persistent rain risk and steering patterns from regional monsoon influences. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the day's maximum reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 22?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 22?
31°C 48%
30°C 29%
32°C 15%
29°C 9%
NOWE
$14,951 Wol.
NOWE
$14,951 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
9%
30°C
29%
31°C
48%
32°C
15%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 48%
30°C 29%
32°C 15%
29°C 9%
NOWE
$14,951 Wol.
NOWE
$14,951 Wol.
Aug 22, 2026
24°C or below
$401 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$372 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$452 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$313 Wol.
1%
28°C
$1,471 Wol.
2%
29°C
$1,632 Wol.
9%
30°C
$3,897 Wol.
29%
31°C
$2,660 Wol.
48%
32°C
$1,064 Wol.
15%
33°C
$2,386 Wol.
2%
34°C or higher
$302 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate Shanghai's August 22 high will likely reach 30–31°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thundershowers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs hover near 30–32°C but precipitation and elevated humidity often suppress peaks below seasonal maxima. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C reflect consensus across ensemble runs showing modest warming potential if breaks in cloud occur, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above account for the persistent rain risk and steering patterns from regional monsoon influences. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the day's maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,951Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate Shanghai's August 22 high will likely reach 30–31°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thundershowers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs hover near 30–32°C but precipitation and elevated humidity often suppress peaks below seasonal maxima. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C reflect consensus across ensemble runs showing modest warming potential if breaks in cloud occur, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above account for the persistent rain risk and steering patterns from regional monsoon influences. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the day's maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,951Data zakończenia
Aug 22, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including the National Meteorological Center indicate Shanghai's August 22 high will likely reach 30–31°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thundershowers that limit daytime heating. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where average highs hover near 30–32°C but precipitation and elevated humidity often suppress peaks below seasonal maxima. Market-implied odds favoring 31°C reflect consensus across ensemble runs showing modest warming potential if breaks in cloud occur, while lower probabilities for 32°C or above account for the persistent rain risk and steering patterns from regional monsoon influences. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market based on the day's maximum reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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