Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 21 project a maximum of 27–31°C under east to southeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap daytime heating. This range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, with 30°C leading at 33%. Persistent moisture and reduced solar radiation differentiate these outcomes from higher or lower extremes by suppressing peak temperatures relative to climatological August averages near 32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent patterns, though traders monitor potential revisions from updated runs in the final 48 hours that could shift convective activity or wind fields.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 21?
30°C 33%
31°C 28%
29°C 25%
32°C 9%
NOWE
$20,826 Wol.
NOWE
$20,826 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
33%
31°C
28%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
31°C 28%
29°C 25%
32°C 9%
NOWE
$20,826 Wol.
NOWE
$20,826 Wol.
Aug 21, 2026
24°C or below
$611 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$802 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$1,360 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$5,598 Wol.
1%
28°C
$4,063 Wol.
8%
29°C
$2,971 Wol.
25%
30°C
$1,850 Wol.
33%
31°C
$1,272 Wol.
28%
32°C
$1,251 Wol.
9%
33°C
$465 Wol.
2%
34°C or higher
$582 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 21 project a maximum of 27–31°C under east to southeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap daytime heating. This range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, with 30°C leading at 33%. Persistent moisture and reduced solar radiation differentiate these outcomes from higher or lower extremes by suppressing peak temperatures relative to climatological August averages near 32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent patterns, though traders monitor potential revisions from updated runs in the final 48 hours that could shift convective activity or wind fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$20,826Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 21 project a maximum of 27–31°C under east to southeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap daytime heating. This range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, with 30°C leading at 33%. Persistent moisture and reduced solar radiation differentiate these outcomes from higher or lower extremes by suppressing peak temperatures relative to climatological August averages near 32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent patterns, though traders monitor potential revisions from updated runs in the final 48 hours that could shift convective activity or wind fields.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$20,826Data zakończenia
Aug 21, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 21 project a maximum of 27–31°C under east to southeast winds of force 4–5, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit insolation and cap daytime heating. This range underpins the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 29–31°C, with 30°C leading at 33%. Persistent moisture and reduced solar radiation differentiate these outcomes from higher or lower extremes by suppressing peak temperatures relative to climatological August averages near 32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent patterns, though traders monitor potential revisions from updated runs in the final 48 hours that could shift convective activity or wind fields.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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