Trader consensus around 35–36°C for Guangzhou’s August 20 peak reflects model spread in short-range forecasts amid subtropical monsoon flow. Afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and thunderstorm timing introduce the main uncertainty, with stronger insolation under clearer skies favoring higher readings near 37°C while widespread rain or haze caps maxima closer to 34°C. Recent runs show modest warming potential from weak steering patterns, yet climatological August averages near 33°C and frequent convective suppression keep probabilities tightly clustered. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 20?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 20?
35°C 26%
36°C 26%
37°C 17%
32°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
15%
33°C
11%
34°C
15%
35°C
26%
36°C
26%
37°C
17%
38°C
11%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 26%
36°C 26%
37°C 17%
32°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 20, 2026
29°C or below
$5 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$5 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$10 Wol.
15%
33°C
$0 Wol.
11%
34°C
$7 Wol.
15%
35°C
$0 Wol.
26%
36°C
$0 Wol.
26%
37°C
$0 Wol.
17%
38°C
$4 Wol.
11%
39°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 35–36°C for Guangzhou’s August 20 peak reflects model spread in short-range forecasts amid subtropical monsoon flow. Afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and thunderstorm timing introduce the main uncertainty, with stronger insolation under clearer skies favoring higher readings near 37°C while widespread rain or haze caps maxima closer to 34°C. Recent runs show modest warming potential from weak steering patterns, yet climatological August averages near 33°C and frequent convective suppression keep probabilities tightly clustered. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$41Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 35–36°C for Guangzhou’s August 20 peak reflects model spread in short-range forecasts amid subtropical monsoon flow. Afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and thunderstorm timing introduce the main uncertainty, with stronger insolation under clearer skies favoring higher readings near 37°C while widespread rain or haze caps maxima closer to 34°C. Recent runs show modest warming potential from weak steering patterns, yet climatological August averages near 33°C and frequent convective suppression keep probabilities tightly clustered. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$41Data zakończenia
Aug 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 35–36°C for Guangzhou’s August 20 peak reflects model spread in short-range forecasts amid subtropical monsoon flow. Afternoon convection, variable cloud cover, and thunderstorm timing introduce the main uncertainty, with stronger insolation under clearer skies favoring higher readings near 37°C while widespread rain or haze caps maxima closer to 34°C. Recent runs show modest warming potential from weak steering patterns, yet climatological August averages near 33°C and frequent convective suppression keep probabilities tightly clustered. Updated GFS and ECMWF guidance ahead of the 48-hour window will likely refine these implied odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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