Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate moderating temperatures in Munich by August 18, driven by weakening high pressure, increased Atlantic moisture, and greater cloud cover that reduces surface heating. Recent model runs highlight scattered showers and light winds that limit afternoon peaks, shifting probabilities toward 20–22°C outcomes amid historical August averages near 22–23°C. Traders weigh these factors against potential breaks in cloud allowing brief warming, creating tight spreads across leading bins as new short-range updates approach. Official resolution relies on DWD station data, underscoring sensitivity to local convective timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 18?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 18?
21°C 35%
22°C 30%
20°C 21%
23°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
21%
21°C
35%
22°C
30%
23°C
8%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
2%
21°C 35%
22°C 30%
20°C 21%
23°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
15°C or below
$304 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$136 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$28 Wol.
<1%
18°C
$13 Wol.
1%
19°C
$453 Wol.
6%
20°C
$339 Wol.
21%
21°C
$723 Wol.
35%
22°C
$1,342 Wol.
30%
23°C
$1,131 Wol.
8%
24°C
$390 Wol.
3%
25°C or higher
$418 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate moderating temperatures in Munich by August 18, driven by weakening high pressure, increased Atlantic moisture, and greater cloud cover that reduces surface heating. Recent model runs highlight scattered showers and light winds that limit afternoon peaks, shifting probabilities toward 20–22°C outcomes amid historical August averages near 22–23°C. Traders weigh these factors against potential breaks in cloud allowing brief warming, creating tight spreads across leading bins as new short-range updates approach. Official resolution relies on DWD station data, underscoring sensitivity to local convective timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,276Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate moderating temperatures in Munich by August 18, driven by weakening high pressure, increased Atlantic moisture, and greater cloud cover that reduces surface heating. Recent model runs highlight scattered showers and light winds that limit afternoon peaks, shifting probabilities toward 20–22°C outcomes amid historical August averages near 22–23°C. Traders weigh these factors against potential breaks in cloud allowing brief warming, creating tight spreads across leading bins as new short-range updates approach. Official resolution relies on DWD station data, underscoring sensitivity to local convective timing.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,276Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate moderating temperatures in Munich by August 18, driven by weakening high pressure, increased Atlantic moisture, and greater cloud cover that reduces surface heating. Recent model runs highlight scattered showers and light winds that limit afternoon peaks, shifting probabilities toward 20–22°C outcomes amid historical August averages near 22–23°C. Traders weigh these factors against potential breaks in cloud allowing brief warming, creating tight spreads across leading bins as new short-range updates approach. Official resolution relies on DWD station data, underscoring sensitivity to local convective timing.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania