Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam on August 18 point to a modest high of 20–22 °C under variable Atlantic flow, with limited daytime heating due to possible cloud cover and moderate westerly winds. This keeps the market-implied probability highest for 21 °C (36.5 %), followed closely by 20 °C (27.5 %), reflecting genuine ensemble spread rather than a single deterministic outcome. Late-summer climatology favors an average August maximum near 21 °C, but subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or brief high-pressure building could tip the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 18?
21°C 37%
20°C 27%
22°C 17%
19°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
8%
20°C
27%
21°C
37%
22°C
17%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
3%
21°C 37%
20°C 27%
22°C 17%
19°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
14°C or below
$362 Wol.
<1%
15°C
$21 Wol.
<1%
16°C
$17 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$93 Wol.
1%
18°C
$43 Wol.
4%
19°C
$112 Wol.
8%
20°C
$84 Wol.
27%
21°C
$26 Wol.
37%
22°C
$59 Wol.
17%
23°C
$74 Wol.
6%
24°C or higher
$108 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam on August 18 point to a modest high of 20–22 °C under variable Atlantic flow, with limited daytime heating due to possible cloud cover and moderate westerly winds. This keeps the market-implied probability highest for 21 °C (36.5 %), followed closely by 20 °C (27.5 %), reflecting genuine ensemble spread rather than a single deterministic outcome. Late-summer climatology favors an average August maximum near 21 °C, but subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or brief high-pressure building could tip the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$998Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam on August 18 point to a modest high of 20–22 °C under variable Atlantic flow, with limited daytime heating due to possible cloud cover and moderate westerly winds. This keeps the market-implied probability highest for 21 °C (36.5 %), followed closely by 20 °C (27.5 %), reflecting genuine ensemble spread rather than a single deterministic outcome. Late-summer climatology favors an average August maximum near 21 °C, but subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or brief high-pressure building could tip the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$998Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and KNMI ensemble forecasts for Amsterdam on August 18 point to a modest high of 20–22 °C under variable Atlantic flow, with limited daytime heating due to possible cloud cover and moderate westerly winds. This keeps the market-implied probability highest for 21 °C (36.5 %), followed closely by 20 °C (27.5 %), reflecting genuine ensemble spread rather than a single deterministic outcome. Late-summer climatology favors an average August maximum near 21 °C, but subtle shifts in boundary-layer moisture or brief high-pressure building could tip the daily peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and KNMI briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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