Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature near 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 18, shaped by subtropical monsoon flow, moderate humidity around 70–80%, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers that cap daytime heating. Historical August baselines average 31–35°C highs, but current steering patterns and light winds favor modest warming without extreme buildup. Trader-implied odds cluster on 34–36°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability yet acknowledges divergence from precipitation timing or cloud cover. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 18?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 18?
34°C 33%
35°C 29%
36°C 25%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
4%
33°C
11%
34°C
33%
35°C
29%
36°C
25%
37°C
2%
38°C
2%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 33%
35°C 29%
36°C 25%
33°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 18, 2026
29°C or below
$46 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$46 Wol.
1%
31°C
$334 Wol.
4%
32°C
$43 Wol.
4%
33°C
$26 Wol.
11%
34°C
$39 Wol.
33%
35°C
$81 Wol.
29%
36°C
$101 Wol.
25%
37°C
$31 Wol.
2%
38°C
$10 Wol.
2%
39°C or higher
$21 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature near 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 18, shaped by subtropical monsoon flow, moderate humidity around 70–80%, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers that cap daytime heating. Historical August baselines average 31–35°C highs, but current steering patterns and light winds favor modest warming without extreme buildup. Trader-implied odds cluster on 34–36°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability yet acknowledges divergence from precipitation timing or cloud cover. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$779Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature near 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 18, shaped by subtropical monsoon flow, moderate humidity around 70–80%, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers that cap daytime heating. Historical August baselines average 31–35°C highs, but current steering patterns and light winds favor modest warming without extreme buildup. Trader-implied odds cluster on 34–36°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability yet acknowledges divergence from precipitation timing or cloud cover. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$779Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and model consensus from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a peak temperature near 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 18, shaped by subtropical monsoon flow, moderate humidity around 70–80%, and partly cloudy skies with isolated showers that cap daytime heating. Historical August baselines average 31–35°C highs, but current steering patterns and light winds favor modest warming without extreme buildup. Trader-implied odds cluster on 34–36°C outcomes because ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability yet acknowledges divergence from precipitation timing or cloud cover. Updated model runs and local observations over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to the daily maximum reading.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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