Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies point to strong southerly winds and a few showers over Wellington on August 16, holding the daily maximum near 9–10 °C and positioning 10 °C as the clear market favorite at 65.5 % implied probability. Cooler polar air that arrived earlier in the month has kept temperatures close to or slightly below the August climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C, while model consensus shows limited warming potential before the 24-hour observation window closes. With resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature, traders are closely watching the final model runs and any last-minute shifts in wind strength that could nudge readings toward 9 °C or 11 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 16?
10°C 66%
9°C 19%
11°C 12%
8°C 3%
NOWE
$13,732 Wol.
NOWE
$13,732 Wol.
Aug 16, 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
2%
8°C
3%
9°C
19%
10°C
66%
11°C
12%
12°C
3%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 66%
9°C 19%
11°C 12%
8°C 3%
NOWE
$13,732 Wol.
NOWE
$13,732 Wol.
Aug 16, 2026
4°C or below
$223 Wol.
<1%
5°C
$907 Wol.
<1%
6°C
$1,049 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$1,740 Wol.
2%
8°C
$1,508 Wol.
3%
9°C
$2,546 Wol.
19%
10°C
$2,928 Wol.
66%
11°C
$1,528 Wol.
12%
12°C
$813 Wol.
3%
13°C
$470 Wol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$287 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies point to strong southerly winds and a few showers over Wellington on August 16, holding the daily maximum near 9–10 °C and positioning 10 °C as the clear market favorite at 65.5 % implied probability. Cooler polar air that arrived earlier in the month has kept temperatures close to or slightly below the August climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C, while model consensus shows limited warming potential before the 24-hour observation window closes. With resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature, traders are closely watching the final model runs and any last-minute shifts in wind strength that could nudge readings toward 9 °C or 11 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$13,732Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies point to strong southerly winds and a few showers over Wellington on August 16, holding the daily maximum near 9–10 °C and positioning 10 °C as the clear market favorite at 65.5 % implied probability. Cooler polar air that arrived earlier in the month has kept temperatures close to or slightly below the August climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C, while model consensus shows limited warming potential before the 24-hour observation window closes. With resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature, traders are closely watching the final model runs and any last-minute shifts in wind strength that could nudge readings toward 9 °C or 11 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,732Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and other agencies point to strong southerly winds and a few showers over Wellington on August 16, holding the daily maximum near 9–10 °C and positioning 10 °C as the clear market favorite at 65.5 % implied probability. Cooler polar air that arrived earlier in the month has kept temperatures close to or slightly below the August climatological average of roughly 12–13 °C, while model consensus shows limited warming potential before the 24-hour observation window closes. With resolution hinging on the official highest recorded temperature, traders are closely watching the final model runs and any last-minute shifts in wind strength that could nudge readings toward 9 °C or 11 °C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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