Current forecasts from NOAA and private models point to a peak temperature in the low 90s°F for Miami on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and a moist tropical air mass with dew points near 75°F that elevates heat indices but caps extreme maxima through scattered afternoon convection. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 88–90°F, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this baseline, with sea-breeze effects and light easterly flow preventing stronger warming. Trader consensus heavily favors the 92–93°F bin because it aligns with the consensus high-temperature guidance issued in the latest NHC and local NWS briefings, while lower or higher bins reflect smaller probabilities of enhanced cloud cover or rare clear-sky intensification. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on August 15?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 15?
92-93°F 64%
94-95°F 16%
90-91°F 14%
88-89°F 3%
NOWE
$13,696 Wol.
NOWE
$13,696 Wol.
Aug 15, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
64%
94-95°F
16%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 64%
94-95°F 16%
90-91°F 14%
88-89°F 3%
NOWE
$13,696 Wol.
NOWE
$13,696 Wol.
Aug 15, 2026
79°F or below
$122 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$247 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$132 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$482 Wol.
1%
86-87°F
$556 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$1,282 Wol.
3%
90-91°F
$1,579 Wol.
14%
92-93°F
$5,742 Wol.
64%
94-95°F
$1,054 Wol.
16%
96-97°F
$537 Wol.
1%
98°F or higher
$1,964 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and private models point to a peak temperature in the low 90s°F for Miami on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and a moist tropical air mass with dew points near 75°F that elevates heat indices but caps extreme maxima through scattered afternoon convection. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 88–90°F, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this baseline, with sea-breeze effects and light easterly flow preventing stronger warming. Trader consensus heavily favors the 92–93°F bin because it aligns with the consensus high-temperature guidance issued in the latest NHC and local NWS briefings, while lower or higher bins reflect smaller probabilities of enhanced cloud cover or rare clear-sky intensification. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$13,696Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and private models point to a peak temperature in the low 90s°F for Miami on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and a moist tropical air mass with dew points near 75°F that elevates heat indices but caps extreme maxima through scattered afternoon convection. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 88–90°F, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this baseline, with sea-breeze effects and light easterly flow preventing stronger warming. Trader consensus heavily favors the 92–93°F bin because it aligns with the consensus high-temperature guidance issued in the latest NHC and local NWS briefings, while lower or higher bins reflect smaller probabilities of enhanced cloud cover or rare clear-sky intensification. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$13,696Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and private models point to a peak temperature in the low 90s°F for Miami on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, strong solar insolation under partly cloudy skies, and a moist tropical air mass with dew points near 75°F that elevates heat indices but caps extreme maxima through scattered afternoon convection. Typical August climatology shows average highs of 88–90°F, and recent model runs show minimal deviation from this baseline, with sea-breeze effects and light easterly flow preventing stronger warming. Trader consensus heavily favors the 92–93°F bin because it aligns with the consensus high-temperature guidance issued in the latest NHC and local NWS briefings, while lower or higher bins reflect smaller probabilities of enhanced cloud cover or rare clear-sky intensification. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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