**Forecast models and recent observational data position 35–36°C as the most probable peak temperature range for Guangzhou on August 16, 2026.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated regional sea-surface temperatures, and high atmospheric moisture favor daytime maxima near or slightly above the August climatological average of ~32–34°C. Latest guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates a high of approximately 35–36°C (96°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, which can both cap surface heating through cloud cover and allow brief spikes during breaks in convection. Trader consensus reflected in the 45% implied probability for 36°C and 23% for 35°C aligns with this narrow uncertainty band; probabilities drop sharply outside 34–37°C because model spreads remain modest only one day ahead of resolution. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or afternoon radar trends could still shift the exact maximum before the daily high is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 16?
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 18%
34°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
9%
35°C
23%
36°C
45%
37°C
18%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
36°C 45%
35°C 23%
37°C 18%
34°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$367 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$293 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$406 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$522 Wol.
1%
33°C
$344 Wol.
3%
34°C
$263 Wol.
9%
35°C
$346 Wol.
23%
36°C
$1,864 Wol.
45%
37°C
$665 Wol.
18%
38°C
$689 Wol.
4%
39°C or higher
$324 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and recent observational data position 35–36°C as the most probable peak temperature range for Guangzhou on August 16, 2026.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated regional sea-surface temperatures, and high atmospheric moisture favor daytime maxima near or slightly above the August climatological average of ~32–34°C. Latest guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates a high of approximately 35–36°C (96°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, which can both cap surface heating through cloud cover and allow brief spikes during breaks in convection. Trader consensus reflected in the 45% implied probability for 36°C and 23% for 35°C aligns with this narrow uncertainty band; probabilities drop sharply outside 34–37°C because model spreads remain modest only one day ahead of resolution. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or afternoon radar trends could still shift the exact maximum before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,074Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and recent observational data position 35–36°C as the most probable peak temperature range for Guangzhou on August 16, 2026.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated regional sea-surface temperatures, and high atmospheric moisture favor daytime maxima near or slightly above the August climatological average of ~32–34°C. Latest guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates a high of approximately 35–36°C (96°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, which can both cap surface heating through cloud cover and allow brief spikes during breaks in convection. Trader consensus reflected in the 45% implied probability for 36°C and 23% for 35°C aligns with this narrow uncertainty band; probabilities drop sharply outside 34–37°C because model spreads remain modest only one day ahead of resolution. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or afternoon radar trends could still shift the exact maximum before the daily high is recorded.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,074Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and recent observational data position 35–36°C as the most probable peak temperature range for Guangzhou on August 16, 2026.** Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated regional sea-surface temperatures, and high atmospheric moisture favor daytime maxima near or slightly above the August climatological average of ~32–34°C. Latest guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicates a high of approximately 35–36°C (96°F) under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms, which can both cap surface heating through cloud cover and allow brief spikes during breaks in convection. Trader consensus reflected in the 45% implied probability for 36°C and 23% for 35°C aligns with this narrow uncertainty band; probabilities drop sharply outside 34–37°C because model spreads remain modest only one day ahead of resolution. Updated National Meteorological Center guidance or afternoon radar trends could still shift the exact maximum before the daily high is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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