Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C on August 16, 2026, as a cooling trend arrives from the north following the recent heatwave that peaked at 38.1°C. This shift aligns with seasonal late-August averages around 13–14°C overnight but is tempered by lingering warmth and light winds under high pressure, keeping most model guidance clustered between 16–18°C. Traders appear to price the highest implied probability at 17°C because ensemble runs show limited overnight radiative cooling potential amid residual humidity, while lower outcomes below 16°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently projected. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from the Met Office and ECMWF will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 16?
Lowest temperature in London on August 16?
17°C 40%
18°C 30%
16°C 16%
19°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
40%
18°C
30%
19°C
14%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 40%
18°C 30%
16°C 16%
19°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
14°C or below
$52 Wol.
2%
15°C
$288 Wol.
4%
16°C
$329 Wol.
16%
17°C
$1,486 Wol.
40%
18°C
$826 Wol.
30%
19°C
$550 Wol.
14%
20°C
$25 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$89 Wol.
1%
22°C
$89 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$99 Wol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$109 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C on August 16, 2026, as a cooling trend arrives from the north following the recent heatwave that peaked at 38.1°C. This shift aligns with seasonal late-August averages around 13–14°C overnight but is tempered by lingering warmth and light winds under high pressure, keeping most model guidance clustered between 16–18°C. Traders appear to price the highest implied probability at 17°C because ensemble runs show limited overnight radiative cooling potential amid residual humidity, while lower outcomes below 16°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently projected. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from the Met Office and ECMWF will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,941Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C on August 16, 2026, as a cooling trend arrives from the north following the recent heatwave that peaked at 38.1°C. This shift aligns with seasonal late-August averages around 13–14°C overnight but is tempered by lingering warmth and light winds under high pressure, keeping most model guidance clustered between 16–18°C. Traders appear to price the highest implied probability at 17°C because ensemble runs show limited overnight radiative cooling potential amid residual humidity, while lower outcomes below 16°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently projected. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from the Met Office and ECMWF will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,941Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts for London indicate a minimum temperature near 16°C on August 16, 2026, as a cooling trend arrives from the north following the recent heatwave that peaked at 38.1°C. This shift aligns with seasonal late-August averages around 13–14°C overnight but is tempered by lingering warmth and light winds under high pressure, keeping most model guidance clustered between 16–18°C. Traders appear to price the highest implied probability at 17°C because ensemble runs show limited overnight radiative cooling potential amid residual humidity, while lower outcomes below 16°C would require stronger northerly flow or clearer skies than currently projected. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours from the Met Office and ECMWF will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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