Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum near 26°C for Istanbul on August 16, driving the leading market-implied probability amid typical mid-August conditions where climatological highs average 27–28°C. Moderate northerly flow, stable atmospheric patterns, and possible increased cloud cover are limiting stronger diurnal heating and urban heat retention compared to recent days. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service highlights low precipitation risk but notes model spread in boundary-layer moisture that could nudge outcomes toward 25°C or 27°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability, where extremes outside 24–29°C remain uncommon this time of year absent major synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will refine the consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 16?
26°C 50%
27°C 25%
25°C 22%
28°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
22%
26°C
50%
27°C
25%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 50%
27°C 25%
25°C 22%
28°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$293 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$53 Wol.
4%
24°C
$3 Wol.
6%
25°C
$0 Wol.
22%
26°C
$127 Wol.
50%
27°C
$25 Wol.
25%
28°C
$1 Wol.
6%
29°C
$58 Wol.
2%
30°C
$140 Wol.
3%
31°C
$171 Wol.
5%
32°C or higher
$15 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum near 26°C for Istanbul on August 16, driving the leading market-implied probability amid typical mid-August conditions where climatological highs average 27–28°C. Moderate northerly flow, stable atmospheric patterns, and possible increased cloud cover are limiting stronger diurnal heating and urban heat retention compared to recent days. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service highlights low precipitation risk but notes model spread in boundary-layer moisture that could nudge outcomes toward 25°C or 27°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability, where extremes outside 24–29°C remain uncommon this time of year absent major synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will refine the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$886Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum near 26°C for Istanbul on August 16, driving the leading market-implied probability amid typical mid-August conditions where climatological highs average 27–28°C. Moderate northerly flow, stable atmospheric patterns, and possible increased cloud cover are limiting stronger diurnal heating and urban heat retention compared to recent days. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service highlights low precipitation risk but notes model spread in boundary-layer moisture that could nudge outcomes toward 25°C or 27°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability, where extremes outside 24–29°C remain uncommon this time of year absent major synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will refine the consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$886Data zakończenia
Aug 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate a daily maximum near 26°C for Istanbul on August 16, driving the leading market-implied probability amid typical mid-August conditions where climatological highs average 27–28°C. Moderate northerly flow, stable atmospheric patterns, and possible increased cloud cover are limiting stronger diurnal heating and urban heat retention compared to recent days. Official guidance from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service highlights low precipitation risk but notes model spread in boundary-layer moisture that could nudge outcomes toward 25°C or 27°C. Traders weigh these variables against historical variability, where extremes outside 24–29°C remain uncommon this time of year absent major synoptic shifts. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will refine the consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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