Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C for August 14 amid scattered showers and a weakening heat spell, supporting the tight clustering around 27°C (38% implied probability) as the leading outcome. Persistent high humidity and cloud cover from tropical moisture limit radiative cooling, while any stronger rain bands could nudge minima toward 26°C by enhancing evaporative effects. Historical August baselines average 26–27°C lows, but the current pattern of suppressed monsoon flow and urban heat retention keeps probabilities distributed across 26–28°C thresholds. Updated NHC and local guidance on storm tracks or convection intensity expected in the next 24 hours will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
32°C or higher 48%
27°C 38%
23°C 36%
26°C 30%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
36%
24°C
2%
25°C
26%
26°C
30%
27°C
38%
28°C
27%
29°C
24%
30°C
26%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
48%
32°C or higher 48%
27°C 38%
23°C 36%
26°C 30%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
$34 Wol.
1%
23°C
$0 Wol.
36%
24°C
$26 Wol.
2%
25°C
$0 Wol.
26%
26°C
$0 Wol.
30%
27°C
$0 Wol.
38%
28°C
$0 Wol.
27%
29°C
$0 Wol.
24%
30°C
$0 Wol.
26%
31°C
$28 Wol.
1%
32°C or higher
$231 Wol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C for August 14 amid scattered showers and a weakening heat spell, supporting the tight clustering around 27°C (38% implied probability) as the leading outcome. Persistent high humidity and cloud cover from tropical moisture limit radiative cooling, while any stronger rain bands could nudge minima toward 26°C by enhancing evaporative effects. Historical August baselines average 26–27°C lows, but the current pattern of suppressed monsoon flow and urban heat retention keeps probabilities distributed across 26–28°C thresholds. Updated NHC and local guidance on storm tracks or convection intensity expected in the next 24 hours will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$319Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C for August 14 amid scattered showers and a weakening heat spell, supporting the tight clustering around 27°C (38% implied probability) as the leading outcome. Persistent high humidity and cloud cover from tropical moisture limit radiative cooling, while any stronger rain bands could nudge minima toward 26°C by enhancing evaporative effects. Historical August baselines average 26–27°C lows, but the current pattern of suppressed monsoon flow and urban heat retention keeps probabilities distributed across 26–28°C thresholds. Updated NHC and local guidance on storm tracks or convection intensity expected in the next 24 hours will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$319Data zakończenia
Aug 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate overnight lows near 27–28°C for August 14 amid scattered showers and a weakening heat spell, supporting the tight clustering around 27°C (38% implied probability) as the leading outcome. Persistent high humidity and cloud cover from tropical moisture limit radiative cooling, while any stronger rain bands could nudge minima toward 26°C by enhancing evaporative effects. Historical August baselines average 26–27°C lows, but the current pattern of suppressed monsoon flow and urban heat retention keeps probabilities distributed across 26–28°C thresholds. Updated NHC and local guidance on storm tracks or convection intensity expected in the next 24 hours will refine these estimates ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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