Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 70°F for San Francisco on August 11, with the marine layer depth and onshore flow creating tight uncertainty between 68–73°F. Persistent cool Pacific waters and coastal upwelling sustain a strong temperature inversion that limits warming, while variable southwest winds and any thinning of low stratus could allow modest afternoon rises. Historical August averages near 69°F provide context, but day-to-day model shifts in boundary-layer moisture and pressure gradients explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 68–71°F bins. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 11?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 11?
70-71°F 35%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
65°F or below
5%
66-67°F
16%
68-69°F
27%
70-71°F
35%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 35%
68-69°F 27%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 16%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 11, 2026
65°F or below
$1,116 Wol.
5%
66-67°F
$1,244 Wol.
16%
68-69°F
$1,359 Wol.
27%
70-71°F
$1,514 Wol.
35%
72-73°F
$1,080 Wol.
19%
74-75°F
$860 Wol.
5%
76-77°F
$493 Wol.
1%
78-79°F
$490 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$541 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$545 Wol.
<1%
84°F or higher
$466 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 70°F for San Francisco on August 11, with the marine layer depth and onshore flow creating tight uncertainty between 68–73°F. Persistent cool Pacific waters and coastal upwelling sustain a strong temperature inversion that limits warming, while variable southwest winds and any thinning of low stratus could allow modest afternoon rises. Historical August averages near 69°F provide context, but day-to-day model shifts in boundary-layer moisture and pressure gradients explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 68–71°F bins. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,707Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 70°F for San Francisco on August 11, with the marine layer depth and onshore flow creating tight uncertainty between 68–73°F. Persistent cool Pacific waters and coastal upwelling sustain a strong temperature inversion that limits warming, while variable southwest winds and any thinning of low stratus could allow modest afternoon rises. Historical August averages near 69°F provide context, but day-to-day model shifts in boundary-layer moisture and pressure gradients explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 68–71°F bins. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,707Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance points to a high near 70°F for San Francisco on August 11, with the marine layer depth and onshore flow creating tight uncertainty between 68–73°F. Persistent cool Pacific waters and coastal upwelling sustain a strong temperature inversion that limits warming, while variable southwest winds and any thinning of low stratus could allow modest afternoon rises. Historical August averages near 69°F provide context, but day-to-day model shifts in boundary-layer moisture and pressure gradients explain why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to the 68–71°F bins. Updated NWS and NOAA model runs expected overnight will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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